World Cup
Netherlands - Morocco
06/30/2026, 01:00 AM
预期进球
1.0
2.0
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
15%0:1
12%1:0
11%0:2
7%xG 分解
Netherlands
Morocco
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
32%
平局
34%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
62%
Under 1.5
38%
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
68%
非平局
66%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis expects an extremely balanced match, with a home win probability of 32% and an away win probability of 34%.
- Offensive Power: The Netherlands average 3.38 goals per season, Morocco 2.75 goals per season, indicating a high-scoring game.
- Defensive Strength: Morocco has an extremely strong defense, conceding only 0.25 goals per game this season, while the Netherlands concede 0.5 goals per game.
风险因素
- Balanced form of both teams: The Netherlands (LWDWW) and Morocco (WDDWW) recently show strong performances, making the match unpredictable.
- Similar tactical strengths: Both teams are possession-dominant (Netherlands 60% possession, Morocco 59% possession) and offensively strong with an average of 6.0 shots on target.
- Data quality indicates no previous head-to-head matches, which complicates historical assessment.
概述
The Netherlands face Morocco at Estadio BBVA Bancomer in this World Cup match on June 30, 2026, at 3:00 AM. Both teams concluded their group stage with 7 points, the Netherlands as group winners with 10 goals scored and 4 conceded, and Morocco as group runners-up with 6 goals scored and 3 conceded. A tight knockout stage match is anticipated.
近期状态
The Netherlands show a current form of LWDWW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) in their last five games. They recently secured a 3-1 victory against Tunisia and a 5-1 win against Sweden. Morocco is in excellent shape with WDDWW (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) from their last five matches. Morocco defeated Haiti 4-2 and Scotland 1-0. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
The Netherlands scored an average of 3.38 goals per game in 8 season matches and conceded 0.5 goals per game. At home, they were particularly strong with an average of 3.4 goals scored and only 0.2 goals conceded per home game. Morocco boasts a strong offense with 2.75 goals per game and an outstanding defense with 0.25 goals conceded per game. Away from home, Morocco scored an average of 3 goals and conceded 0.25 goals. At Estadio BBVA Bancomer, the last 5 games saw an average of 3.6 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 60% of matches, and 80% ended with over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
No historical head-to-head matches between these two teams were found in the provided dataset.
关键球员
For the Netherlands, Cody Gakpo is a key attacking player with 2 goals and 1 assist this season, contributing 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games. Brian Brobbey has scored 3 goals this season and 3 goals in his last 5 appearances. Crysencio Summerville added 2 goals and 1 assist. For Morocco, Ismael Saibari stands out with 3 goals this season and an impressive 5 goals in the last 5 games. Brahim Díaz recently showed good form with 1 goal and 2 assists, while Achraf Hakimi also contributed to the offense with 1 goal and 1 assist.
门将
Bart Verbruggen for the Netherlands has an average rating of 6.88 this season. The Netherlands have recorded 5 clean sheets. Yassine Bounou for Morocco has a season rating of 6.49. Morocco has achieved 6 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
The match takes place at Estadio BBVA Bancomer on a grass surface. The venue has a high average goal rate of 3.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches. The home team scored an average of 3.4 goals and conceded only 0.2 goals per home game, suggesting a significant home advantage, even if this is a neutral World Cup stadium.