World Cup
Paraguay - France
07/04/2026, 09:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
3.1
1.5
1:1
12%1:2
8%2:1
8%2:2
6%0:2
6%xG 分解
Paraguay
France
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
27%
客胜
37%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
双重机会
主胜或平局
63%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
63%
否
37%
关键因素
- Balanced forecast: The model predicts a 37% win probability for both teams, with a 27% chance of a draw
- Form disparity: France shows perfect form with 5 consecutive wins, while Paraguay has a mixed form of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
- Offensive strength vs. counter-attacking tactics: France is possession-dominant (60% possession) and offensively strong (avg. 7.8 shots on target), while Paraguay is counter-oriented (25% possession) with avg. 4.6 shots on target
风险因素
- Short recovery time: France has had only 4 days rest since their last match
- Offensive weakness: Paraguay averages only 0.75 goals per home game
- Low scoring threat: Paraguay has averaged only 0.78 goals per game this season and failed to score in 9 matches
概述
Paraguay (3rd place, 4 points) faces France (1st place, 9 points) at Lincoln Financial Field. This World Cup Round of 16 match takes place on July 4, 2026, 11:00 PM. Both teams are fighting for a spot in the quarter-finals.
近期状态
Paraguay's form in their last five matches is WLWDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their last two games ended in a draw. France is in top form with five consecutive wins (WWWWW). They have won all of their last five matches, showing consistent performance. In their last outing, Paraguay drew 1-1 with Germany, while France won 3-0 against Sweden.
统计数据
Paraguay has averaged 0.78 goals scored and 0.56 goals conceded per game this season. They kept 10 clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 4 matches. At home, they scored 0.75 goals and conceded 0.25 goals. France is very strong offensively, averaging 2.67 goals per game and conceding 0.67 goals. They recorded 3 clean sheets and had 5 matches with over 2.5 goals. Away from home, France scored 2.33 goals and conceded 1.00 goal. Lincoln Financial Field has seen an average of 2.4 total goals across 5 games. Both teams scored in 20% of matches, and 60% had over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
No head-to-head data between Paraguay and France is available in the provided dataset.
关键球员
For Paraguay, key players include midfielder Julio Enciso with 1 goal and 2 assists this season, and midfielder Matías Galarza Fonda with 1 goal and 1 assist. Goalkeeper Orlando Gill has an average rating of 7.29. For France, forward Kylian Mbappé stands out with 6 goals and 2 assists this season, and Michael Olise (attacker) with 3 goals and 5 assists in the last 5 games. Ousmane Dembélé (attacker) contributed 4 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games.
门将
Paraguay's goalkeeper Orlando Gill has an average rating of 7.29 in 4 appearances. The team has kept 10 clean sheets this season. France's goalkeeper Mike Maignan has an average rating of 6.88 in 4 appearances. France has recorded 3 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Lincoln Financial Field averages 2.4 total goals per game. Only 20% of matches saw both teams score, while 60% of games had over 2.5 goals. Paraguay scored an average of 0.75 goals in home games and conceded 0.25 goals. France scored an average of 2.33 goals in away games and conceded 1.00 goal.