World Cup
Brazil - Norway
07/05/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.3
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
11%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Brazil
Norway
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
31%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: Brazil has a home win probability of 45% according to mathematical analysis.
- Squad Impact: Brazil's offense is critically impacted, with only 38% of goal production available, without L. Tolentino Coelho de Lima.
- Tactical Comparison: Brazil showed strong offensive play in their last 5 games with an average of 6.6 shots on target, while Norway averaged 4.4 shots on target.
风险因素
- Limited Data: No previous head-to-head matches are available for these teams.
- Pitch Conditions: Brazil's record on artificial turf is negative with 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses.
- Form Trend: Norway's goal production is currently stagnating (2.2 goals), with a season average of 3.2 goals.
概述
Brazil (1st place, 7 points) faces Norway (2nd place, 6 points) in the World Cup Round of 16 at MetLife Stadium.
The match is scheduled for July 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM.
Brazil enters this encounter as the favorite.
近期状态
Brazil is in excellent form with four wins and one draw in their last five matches (WDWWW).
They have won their last three consecutive games.
Norway recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches (DWWLW).
The Norwegian team managed to win their most recent game.
统计数据
Brazil averages 1.33 goals scored per game and concedes 0.94 goals per game this season.
At home, Brazil is particularly strong defensively, conceding an average of only 0.36 goals per home game, while scoring 1.29 home goals.
Norway shines with an impressive average of 4.63 goals scored per game this season, conceding 0.63 goals.
Away from home, Norway scores an impressive 4.67 goals per game and concedes 1.00 goal.
MetLife Stadium sees an average of 3.4 total goals per game, and both teams score in 60% of matches.
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of the games at this stadium.
关键球员
For Brazil, Vinicius Junior is a key player with 4 season goals and 1 assist, although his form is slightly declining.
Bruno Guimarães is in rising form with 1 goal and 4 assists in his last 5 games.
Matheus Cunha contributed 3 season goals and shows stable form.
For Norway, Erling Haaland is crucial with 5 season goals in his last 4 games, but his form is declining.
Martin Ødegaard provided 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 5 games and shows stable form.
Patrick Berg recorded 2 assists in his last 5 games and is also in stable form.
门将
Alisson, Brazil's goalkeeper, recorded 6 clean sheets this season.
Ørjan Nyland, Norway's goalkeeper, has collected 4 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Brazil has a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses (4:5 goals) on artificial turf.
Norway shows a significantly stronger performance on artificial turf with 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss (11:8 goals).
MetLife Stadium has proven to be high-scoring with an average of 3.4 goals per game and an Over 2.5 rate of 80%.