World Cup
United States - Belgium
07/07/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
1.1
2.4
1.3
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
11%1:2
9%1:0
8%xG 分解
United States
Belgium
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
28%
平局
31%
客胜
41%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
59%
客胜或平局
72%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: Belgium has a higher win probability of 41% compared to 28% for United States
- Offensive strength: Belgium shows a stronger offense with an average of 4.00 away goals per game compared to United States' 2.67 home goals
- Historical dominance: Belgium won both previous head-to-head matches with a goal difference of 7:3
风险因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a high draw probability of 31%
- United States' home record on artificial turf is balanced with 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses
概述
United States (1st place, 6 points) host Belgium (1st place, 5 points) at Lumen Field. This is an important World Cup match on July 7, 2026, 02:00 AM. Both teams aim to win their group to secure a good starting position.
近期状态
United States' current form across all competitions is LWWLW (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Their last result was a win. Belgium comes into the match in better shape with WDDWW (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). They have won their last two consecutive matches. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
United States score an average of 2.50 goals per game and concede 1.00 goal per game this season. At home, they average 2.67 goals scored and 0.33 goals conceded. Belgium is more offensive with an average of 3.63 goals scored per game and 0.88 goals conceded. Away from home, Belgium scores an average of 4.00 goals and concedes 1.33 goals. At Lumen Field, 5 games have averaged 3.0 goals, both teams scored in 80% of matches, and 40% ended with over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
In the 2 head-to-head matches played so far, United States have no home wins, while Belgium secured 2 away wins, with 0 draws. The goal difference is 3:7 in favor of Belgium. The last encounter saw Belgium win 5:2 on March 28, 2026. Belgium has been dominant in recent matchups.
关键球员
For United States, Folarin Balogun with 3 season goals, Malik Tillman with 1 season goal and 1 assist, and Christian Pulisic with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games are key offensive players. For Belgium, Leandro Trossard stands out with 2 season goals and 2 assists (recently 3 goals and 1 assist), Youri Tielemans with 2 season goals (recently 2 goals and 1 assist), and Charles De Ketelaere with 1 goal in the last 5 games.
门将
Matt Freese of United States has kept 2 clean sheets this season. Thibaut Courtois of Belgium has kept 4 clean sheets.
影响因素
The match will be played on artificial turf. United States' record on this surface is 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses with a goal difference of 13:13. Belgium has a stronger record on artificial turf with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with a goal difference of 15:7. Lumen Field sees an average of 3.0 goals per game, with an 80% BTTS rate.