World Cup

Switzerland - Colombia

07/07/2026, 08:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Switzerland
1.1
Total xG
2.3
Colombia
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

10%

1:0

10%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
SWICOL

Switzerland

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.59
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.13
Johan Manzambi未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
Rubén Vargas替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅61%可用)

Colombia

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.49
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
-0.32
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.14
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

32%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

68%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a very close match, with a home win probability of 32% for Switzerland and 36% for Colombia
  • Switzerland showed strong form in their last 5 games with 3 wins and 2 draws, while Colombia is also in top form with 4 wins and 1 draw
  • BC Place Stadium has recorded an average of 4.2 goals per game in 5 matches, suggesting a potentially high-scoring game
风险因素
  • Colombia had a very short recovery time of only 3 days since their last match
  • Switzerland is missing Johan Manzambi (3G/2A) and Rubén Vargas (2G/1A), leaving only 61% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available
  • Both teams recently show stagnating goal production compared to their season average: Switzerland with an average of 2.3 vs 2.9 goals and Colombia with an average of 1.7 vs 1.9 goals
概述

Switzerland (1st place, 7 points) faces Colombia (1st place, 7 points) at BC Place Stadium

World Cup match on July 7, 2026, 8:00 PM

Both teams finished top of their groups

This is a crucial knockout match for progression to the next round

近期状态

Switzerland has achieved a form of DDWWW in their last 5 matches

This includes 3 wins and 2 draws

They have recorded 3 consecutive wins recently

Colombia shows a form of WWWDW in their last 5 matches

This means 4 wins and 1 draw

The team recently celebrated a win, following a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Switzerland scored an average of 2.33 goals per game this season and conceded 0.33 goals

At home, they averaged 2.2 goals scored and conceded only 0.2 goals

They kept 4 clean sheets

Colombia scored an average of 1.56 goals per season and conceded 1.0 goal

Away from home, they scored 1.5 goals per game and conceded 1.38 goals

They kept 7 clean sheets

BC Place Stadium recorded an average of 4.2 goals per game in 5 matches

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 matches, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 matches

关键球员

For Switzerland: Breel Embolo, an attacker, scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists in his last 5 games and has a stable form trend

Dan Ndoye, also an attacker, scored 2 goals in his last 5 appearances and shows a rising form trend

Granit Xhaka in midfield contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games and has a stable form trend

For Colombia: Jhon Arias, an attacker, scored 3 goals in his last 5 games and shows a rising form trend

Daniel Muñoz, a defender, scored 2 goals in his last 5 games and has a stable form trend

Luis Díaz, an attacker, recorded 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games and has a stable form trend

门将

In goal for Switzerland is Gregor Kobel

Switzerland has achieved 4 clean sheets this season

For Colombia, Camilo Vargas is in goal

Colombia kept 7 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match takes place on artificial turf

Switzerland has a positive record on this surface with 3 wins and no draws or losses, with 8:2 goals

Colombia has a record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss on artificial turf, with 1:1 goals

BC Place Stadium is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 4.2 goals per match here

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