World Cup
Canada - Morocco
07/04/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
0.8
2.5
1.7
1:1
13%0:2
11%1:2
10%0:3
6%1:3
5%xG 分解
Canada
Morocco
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
17%
平局
27%
客胜
55%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
45%
客胜或平局
83%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Model prediction: Morocco has a win probability of 55% and is significantly ahead in expected goals with 1.67 compared to Canada (0.85)
- Defensive strength: Morocco appears defensively very stable with only 0.25 goals conceded per game
- Consistency in form: Morocco is unbeaten in their last 5 games and has a better point total than Canada
风险因素
- Canada is without Cyle Larin, meaning only 65% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available
- Morocco had a shorter break of only 4 days since their last match
- Morocco's recent goal production is stalling at 1.6 goals, while the season average is 2.3
概述
Canada hosts Morocco at NRG Stadium in a World Cup match on July 4, 2026, 6:00 PM
Canada is in 2nd place with 4 points, while Morocco is also in 2nd place with 7 points
Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the tournament
近期状态
Canada's form in the last 5 games is DDWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
The last win was a 1-0 away victory against South Africa
This was followed by a 1-2 away loss against Switzerland
Then came a clear 6-0 home win against Qatar
Previously, they drew 1-1 at home against Bosnia and Herzegovina and 1-1 against Republic of Ireland
Morocco is unbeaten in their last 5 games with a form of DDWWD
They achieved 2 wins and 3 draws
Their last match was a 1-1 away draw against Netherlands
Before that, they had a 4-2 home win against Haiti and a 1-0 away win against Scotland
Two draws followed with 1-1 away against Brazil and 1-1 at home against Norway
统计数据
Canada scores an average of 2.25 goals per game this season and concedes 0.75 goals
They kept 2 clean sheets
Morocco boasts a season average of 2.75 goals scored and only 0.25 goals conceded
They managed to keep 6 clean sheets
In home games, Canada averages 2.33 goals scored and concedes 0.33 goals
Morocco scores an average of 3 goals in away games and concedes 0.25 goals
At NRG Stadium, an average of 3.2 total goals were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
历史交锋
There has only been 1 head-to-head match between Canada and Morocco
Morocco won this game away with a score of 2-1
The last encounter took place on December 1, 2022
The historical record indicates a dominance for Morocco
关键球员
For Canada, Jonathan David is an important attacker with 3 season goals in 4 appearances
Stephen Eustaquio in midfield has 1 season goal in 4 appearances
Alistair Johnston in defense shows an average rating of 7.11 over 4 season appearances
For Morocco, Achraf Hakimi is a crucial player with 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 season appearances and an average rating of 8.00
Ismael Saibari in midfield has scored 3 goals in 4 season appearances
Brahim Díaz in attack contributed 2 assists in 4 season appearances and scored 1 goal in the last 5 games
门将
Maxime Crépeau is Canada's goalkeeper
Canada has finished 2 games with a clean sheet this season
Yassine Bounou is Morocco's goalkeeper
Morocco has recorded 6 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match takes place at NRG Stadium on artificial turf
Canada has a record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss with 8:2 goals on artificial turf
Morocco has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses with 8:3 goals on artificial turf
The stadium saw an average of 3.2 goals per game in recent matches
In 3 out of 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games