World Cup
Argentina - Egypt
07/07/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.3
0.7
1:0
14%1:1
13%2:0
12%0:0
12%2:1
9%xG 分解
Argentina
Egypt
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
54%
平局
29%
客胜
17%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
83%
客胜或平局
46%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis identifies Argentina as the clear favorite with a 54% win probability, while Egypt is only given 17%
- Egypt's offense is severely limited, with only 30% of their usual goal production available according to data
- Argentina is in top form with 5 consecutive wins and demonstrates ball-dominant play with an average of 6.4 shots on target per game
风险因素
- Limited data available regarding head-to-head matches between the teams
- Mohamed Salah (Egypt) shows a declining form trend in recent matches
概述
Argentina (1st place, 9 points) faces Egypt (2nd place, 5 points) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in the World Cup
The match takes place on July 7, 2026, 6:00 PM
Both teams are fighting for progression in the knockout stage
近期状态
Argentina's current form shows a flawless record with 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses (Form: WWWWW)
The team has won its last five matches, most recently a 3-2 victory against Cape Verde Islands
Egypt, on the other hand, recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games (Form: LDWDD)
The team drew their last two matches, including a 1-1 against Australia
统计数据
Argentina averages 1.72 goals scored per game and concedes 0.56 goals
The team kept 11 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 5 matches
In home games, the average is 1.67 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded
Egypt, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.2 goals conceded per game, shows strong offense and very stable defense
They achieved 8 clean sheets, and both teams scored in only 2 matches
Away, they also score 2.0 goals and concede only 0.25 goals
At Mercedes-Benz Stadium, an average of 3.8 goals per game were scored, with both teams scoring in 80% of matches and 80% of games ending with over 2.5 goals
关键球员
Key players for Argentina include Lionel Messi, an attacker with 7 season goals and an average rating of 8.96, whose form has recently been declining
Lisandro Martínez in defense scored 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 7.64, also showing declining form
Enzo Fernández in midfield has a rating of 7.20 with stable form
For Egypt, Mohamed Salah stands out as an attacker with 1 season goal, 2 assists, and a rating of 7.46, with his form declining
Emam Ashour in midfield scored 2 goals and has a rating of 7.20 with stable form
Mostafa Mohamed Zaki Abdelraouf, an attacker, has 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 7.02, and his form is stable
门将
Emiliano Martínez is Argentina's goalkeeper with a season rating of 6.58
His team has achieved 11 clean sheets this season
Oufa Shobeir is Egypt's goalkeeper with a season rating of 7.26
His team has achieved 8 clean sheets
影响因素
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, which features artificial turf, has seen an average of 3.8 goals per game across 5 matches
Both teams scored in 80% of matches, and 80% of games ended with over 2.5 goals
Argentina has a strong record on artificial turf with 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, scoring 5 goals and conceding 1
Egypt has a more balanced record on artificial turf with 1 win, 3 draws, and 0 losses, scoring 6 goals and conceding 4