World Cup

Mexico - England

07/06/2026, 01:00 AM

2 : 3
预期进球
Mexico
1.1
Total xG
2.3
England
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

10%

1:0

10%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
MEXENG

Mexico

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.85
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
-0.77
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.27
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第4位, 相差10位)
-0.13

England

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1球)
-0.33
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.10
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第14位, 相差10位)
+0.05
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+0.01

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.43
+0.43
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

32%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

68%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Predicted Balance: The mathematical analysis sees a home win at 34% and an away win at 34%
  • England's Defensive Strength: The team conceded an average of 0.00 goals this season and achieved 8 clean sheets
  • Mexico's Winning Streak: Mexico enters the match with 5 consecutive wins
风险因素
  • Limited data available for head-to-head matches
  • The model predicts only a 48% chance of both teams scoring
  • The model forecasts a low 40% probability for over 2.5 goals
概述

Mexico (1st place, 9 points) faces England (1st place, 7 points) at Estadio Banorte

This is a crucial World Cup knockout match on July 6, 2026, 1:00 AM

Both teams showed strong performances in the group stage

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Mexico enters this match with a perfect form of 5 wins (WWWWW)

England showed a form of 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches (WWDWW)

统计数据

Mexico averages 1.88 goals scored per game and concedes only 0.25 goals per game

England impresses with an average of 2.75 goals scored and has conceded no goals (0.00)

Mexico recorded 6 clean sheets this season, while England achieved an impressive 8 clean sheets

At Estadio Banorte, an average of 2.2 goals per game were scored

Both teams scored in 1 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

No head-to-head data is available for Mexico and England

关键球员

For Mexico, Julián Quiñones stands out with 3 goals and 1 assist in 4 season appearances

Roberto Alvarado showed his playmaking abilities with 3 assists in 4 season appearances

Raúl Jiménez scored 2 goals in 3 season appearances

For England, Harry Kane is a key player with 5 goals in 4 season appearances

Jude Bellingham contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 4 season appearances

Anthony Gordon registered 2 assists in 3 season appearances and recently showed a rising form trend

门将

Raúl Rangel is the goalkeeper for Mexico and kept 6 clean sheets

Jordan Pickford is in goal for England and achieved an impressive 8 clean sheets

影响因素

Mexico showed strength at home, averaging 1.86 home goals scored and 0.29 goals conceded

England proved to be extremely stable away from home, with 2.60 goals scored and 0.00 goals conceded

Estadio Banorte recorded an average of 2.2 total goals per game

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