World Cup

Spain - Belgium

07/10/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Spain
1.3
Total xG
2.4
Belgium
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

0:1

8%
xG 分解
SPABEL

Spain

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.69
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.46倍)
-0.18
最近5场中5场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.07

Belgium

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.56
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.36倍)
-0.43
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.21
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

31%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

69%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Tactical dominance: Spain averaged 65% possession and 6.4 shots on target in recent matches
  • Historical superiority: Spain won all 4 historical duels against Belgium with an aggregate score of 11-1
  • Squad restriction: Only 41% of Belgium's goal production is active and available for this match
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor: Belgium have only 3 days of rest compared to Spain's 4 days of recovery
  • Attack slowdown: Spain's goal production has slowed down to 2.3 goals compared to their season average of 2.9
  • Belgian dip: Belgium's goalscoring has decreased to 3.3 goals recently against a season average of 3.7
概述

Spain face Belgium at SoFi Stadium

World Cup match on July 10, 2026, 8:00 PM

Both teams lead their groups with 7 and 5 points respectively

A high-stakes knockout clash is ahead

近期状态

Spain are in stable shape with a DWWWW form run

Four consecutive wins recently, including a 1-0 victory against Portugal

Belgium enter with a DDWWW form trend

The Red Devils won their last three games, including a 4-1 win over the United States

Spain have 4 wins and 1 draw, while Belgium have 3 wins and 2 draws (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Spain score an average of 3.5 goals and concede only 0.33 goals per game

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 5 out of 6 games for Spain

Belgium score 3.63 goals on average while conceding 0.88 goals per match

Spain recorded 5 clean sheets so far this season

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches in history

Spain won all 4 encounters with an aggregate goal difference of 11-1

The last direct duel ended in a 5-0 win for Spain

关键球员

Mikel Oyarzabal scored 4 goals in 5 appearances with a rating of 7.7

Pedro Porro impresses as defender with a 7.96 rating and 1 goal

Rodri commands the midfield with a solid 7.62 rating

Leandro Trossard stands out for Belgium with 2 goals and 3 assists with a 7.66 rating

Youri Tielemans contributed 2 goals with a rating of 7.55

Kevin De Bruyne recorded 1 goal and a season rating of 7.44

门将

Unai Simón has 5 clean sheets and an average rating of 7.03

Thibaut Courtois recorded 4 clean sheets with a rating of 6.79

影响因素

The match is played on artificial turf at SoFi Stadium

Spain's record on artificial turf is 4 wins and 1 draw with 9-0 goals

Belgium's record on this surface is 4 wins and 3 draws with 19-8 goals

The stadium average stands at 2.8 goals per match

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