World Cup
England - Argentina
07/15/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
11%0:1
10%2:1
7%xG 分解
England
Argentina
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
33%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Tactical output: England recently averaged 5.8 shots on target, compared to Argentina's average of 6.6 shots on target
- Perfect defensive season: England conceded 0.00 goals on average in 8 matches this season
- Strong turf records: Argentina won all 3 matches on artificial turf, while England is unbeaten with 3 wins and 1 draw
风险因素
- Short recovery: Argentina has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Squad restriction: Only 59% of England's goal-scoring threat is available in the current squad
- Missing defensive depth: J. Quansah is suspended for England due to a red card
概述
England faces Argentina at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium
World Cup fixture on July 15, 2026, 9:00 PM
The mathematical model estimates a home win probability of 36%
近期状态
England displays stable form with DWWWW in their last five matches
Their last game resulted in a 2-1 win against Norway
Argentina enters in perfect shape with a WWWWW run
They recently defeated Switzerland 3-1
统计数据
England has a perfect defensive record with 0 goals conceded in 8 games
The hosts score an average of 2.75 goals per match
Argentina averages 1.72 goals scored and 0.56 conceded
The visitors have kept 11 clean sheets this season
关键球员
Harry Kane has scored 6 goals and provided 1 assist this season
Jude Bellingham stands out with an average rating of 7.97
Lionel Messi leads Argentina with 8 goals and 2 assists
Not selected: Lautaro Martínez (2 goals, 1 assist)
门将
Jordan Pickford played 6 games for England with a 6.71 average rating
Emiliano Martínez has 6 appearances for Argentina this season
影响因素
The match will be played on artificial turf
England is unbeaten on this surface with 3 wins and 1 draw
Argentina has a perfect record of 3 wins on artificial turf