World Cup

France - England

07/18/2026, 09:00 PM

4 : 6
预期进球
France
1.2
Total xG
2.3
England
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
FRAENG

France

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.67
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.52倍)
-0.32
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.04
Ousmane Dembélé替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
Bradley Barcola替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
38%进球产出缺失 (仅70%可用)

England

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.69
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
-0.42
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.04
Harry Kane替补席 (6球, 1助攻)
Jude Bellingham替补席 (6球, 1助攻)
Anthony Gordon替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
92%进球产出缺失 (仅29%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

32%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

68%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Severe quality loss for England as only 30% of the usual attacking threat is active without Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, and Anthony Gordon
  • France averaged 58.4% possession and 7.2 shots on target in recent matches to dominate their opponents
  • Mathematical predictions slightly favor France with a 37% win probability
风险因素
  • Weakened French attack since only 70% of the typical starting attacking threat is active with Ousmane Dembélé and Bradley Barcola missing
  • England has to cope with a tight schedule having only 3 days of rest since their last match
概述

France faces England in the World Cup

This prestigious match takes place at the Hard Rock Stadium

Kick-off is scheduled for July 18, 2026, 11:00 PM

Both teams lead their respective standings with strong performances

近期状态

France holds a form record of WWWWL and recently suffered a 0-2 defeat against Spain

The French goal production is currently stalling at an average of 2.0 compared to their season average of 2.4

England also shows a form record of WWWWL and lost their last game 1-2 to Argentina

The English team continues to score consistently with around 2.1 goals per match

统计数据

France averages 2.29 goals scored and 0.57 goals conceded per game this season

England shines with a flawless defensive record of 0 goals conceded on average this season

The English side also scores an impressive average of 2.75 goals per match

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams

The last meeting ended in a 2-1 victory

关键球员

Kylian Mbappé is France's top threat with 8 goals and 3 assists

Michael Olise has contributed 5 assists to the French attack

Bukayo Saka has delivered 3 assists for England this season

门将

Mike Maignan has kept 4 clean sheets for France

England's defense has recorded 8 clean sheets overall this season

影响因素

The game will be played on natural grass at the Hard Rock Stadium

Matches at this venue average 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of the fixtures played here

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