Friendly International

Iraq - Venezuela

06/10/2026, 01:00 AM

0 : 2
预期进球
Iraq
1.5
Total xG
2.9
Venezuela
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

2:2

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
IRAVEN

Iraq

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.78
排名劣势 (第58位 vs 第49位, 相差9位)
-0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.03
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

Venezuela

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.79倍)
+0.75
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.38
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.30
状态上升 (2 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.29
排名优势 (第49位 vs 第58位, 相差9位)
+0.06
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.05
Gleiker Mendoza未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
+0.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

28%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

72%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a very close game, with both Iraq (36%) and Venezuela (37%) having similar chances of winning, and a draw also highly weighted at 28%
  • Iraq's defensive strength this season (average 0.65 goals conceded per game) meets Venezuela's extremely vulnerable away defense (average 3.33 goals conceded per away game)
  • Both teams show critical concerns regarding available offensive strength, with 0% of the usual starting XI's goal-scoring power available. For Venezuela, Gleiker Mendoza (1G/1A) is also missing
风险因素
  • Data availability is limited, as no historical head-to-head matches or detailed venue history are provided
  • Iraq recorded an average of only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating potential difficulties in creating clear scoring opportunities
  • Venezuela conceded 2 goals in their last match against Türkiye, signaling a vulnerability in recent defensive performance
概述

Iraq host Venezuela at SeatGeek Stadium in a Friendly International match on June 10, 2026, 1:00 AM. This is an international friendly.

近期状态

Iraq displays strong current form with 'DDWWD' in their last five games. The team recorded 2 wins and 3 draws during this period and remains unbeaten. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss. Venezuela showed mixed form with 'WLWDL' in their last five encounters, achieving 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses.

统计数据

Iraq has shown a strong offensive performance this season with an average of 1.5 goals per game and a solid defense, conceding only 0.65 goals per match. The team kept 12 clean sheets and failed to score in 4 matches. Venezuela scores an average of 1.0 goal per game but has a vulnerable defense, conceding 1.56 goals on average. This season, they failed to score in 6 games and kept 6 clean sheets. Venezuela's away record is particularly noticeable, as they score an average of 1.0 goal but concede 3.33 goals per away game.

历史交锋

No head-to-head data is available for Iraq and Venezuela. Therefore, an analysis of historical encounters is not possible.

关键球员

For Iraq, Rebin Sulaka (Defender) stands out, having played in 3 of the last 5 games and showing a slightly rising form. He achieved an average rating of 7.07 in his last five appearances. For Venezuela, goalkeeper José Contreras is an important player, featuring in 4 of the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.20. His form shows a slight declining trend.

门将

Iraq's goalkeeper contributed to 12 clean sheets this season, with 5 of them in home games. For Venezuela, goalkeeper José Contreras is expected. Venezuela's team recorded a total of 6 clean sheets this season but has not managed any away clean sheets.

影响因素

Iraq shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.45 goals scored and 0.64 goals conceded per home game. Venezuela's away statistics indicate a weak defense, conceding an average of 3.33 goals per away match. No data on stadium history or weather influences is available, which complicates the analysis.

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