Friendly International

Czech Republic - Guatemala

06/05/2026, 12:00 AM

3 : 1
预期进球
Czech Republic
1.9
Total xG
2.5
Guatemala
0.6
最可能的比分

2:0

14%

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

3:0

9%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
CRGUA

Czech Republic

防守不足 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.79
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.60
排名优势 (第39位 vs 第98位, 相差59位)
+0.13
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

Guatemala

防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.69
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.44倍)
-0.50
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.19
排名劣势 (第98位 vs 第39位, 相差59位)
-0.11

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

66%

平局

23%

客胜

11%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

89%

客胜或平局

34%

非平局

77%

双方进球

41%

59%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of a home win for the Czech Republic (66%)
  • Guatemala's defensive vulnerabilities are significant, with an average of 4.0 goals conceded per game this season
  • A critical impact on the Czech Republic's starting XI strength, with only 0% of the usual active goals share available
风险因素
  • Guatemala is in very poor form, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 4 matches
  • The Czech Republic faces this match with several players sidelined due to injury (M. Vitík, D. Zima, V. Jaroš, J. Kliment, V. Jemelka)
  • Guatemala's offensive output is limited, averaging only 2.8 shots on target in their last 4 games
概述

The Czech Republic will host Guatemala in a Friendly International match at Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores on June 5, 2026, 2:00 AM. Mathematical analysis shows the Czechs as clear favorites with a 66% win probability

近期状态

The Czech Republic won their only recent match, showing a W form

Guatemala, on the other hand, is in a difficult phase with a form of LDLL

This translates to 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 4 games

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

The Czech Republic scored an average of 2.0 goals per game this season and conceded 1.0 goal per game

Guatemala has scored an average of 0.0 goals and conceded 4.0 goals per game this season

The Czechs had both teams score in 1 of 1 match (100%) and finished 1 of 1 match (100%) with over 2.5 goals

Guatemala had both teams score in 0 of 2 matches (0%) and 1 of 2 matches (50%) with over 2.5 goals

In the Czech Republic's only home game, they scored 2 goals and conceded 1 goal

In Guatemala's away games, they conceded a total of 8 goals

历史交锋

No data on previous head-to-head encounters between these two teams is available in the provided dataset

关键球员

For the Czech Republic: Patrik Schick showed a strong performance with 6 goals in his last 5 games with an average rating of 7.48

Pavel Sulc contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games

Tomáš Souček scored 1 goal in his last 5 games

For Guatemala: Ó. Santis provided 1 assist in his last 3 games with an average rating of 6.51

门将

Matej Kovar for the Czech Republic had 0 clean sheets this season

L. Morán for Guatemala had 0 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The Czech Republic scored 2 goals and conceded 1 goal in their only home game

Guatemala conceded an average of 4 goals in away games

The surface at Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores is grass

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