Friendly International

Greece - Italy

06/07/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Greece
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Italy
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
GREITA

Greece

小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.30
排名劣势 (第40位 vs 第10位, 相差30位)
-0.24
全员可用

Italy

小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.20
排名优势 (第10位 vs 第40位, 相差30位)
+0.09
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
+0.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

30%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

70%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a very close outcome, with a 39% home win, 30% draw, and 32% away win
  • Italy showed a very strong defense in their single season game, with 0 goals conceded and 1 clean sheet
  • Greece averaged 4.5 shots on target in their last 4 games
风险因素
  • Greece had only 3 days since their last match
  • Italy averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last game
  • Greece failed to score in 2 out of 3 season games
概述

Greece hosts Italy at Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis for a Friendly International match on June 7, 2026, 9:00 PM

The mathematical analysis predicts a close outcome, with a 39% probability for a home win, a 30% draw, and a 32% away win

近期状态

Greece has a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last four games (WLDD)

Most recently, Greece drew 2-2 away against Sweden

This was followed by a 0-0 draw away against Hungary

Italy has secured 1 win in their last game (W)

Italy recently won 1-0 away against Luxembourg

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Greece averages 0.67 goals scored per game and concedes 1.0 goal per game this season

Italy averages 1.0 goal scored per game and has conceded 0.0 goals in their single season game so far

Greece had both teams scoring in 1 of 3 season games and over 2.5 goals in 1 of 3 games

Italy had both teams scoring in 0 of 1 season game and over 2.5 goals in 0 of 1 game

The Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis venue has seen an average of 4.0 goals per game in one match

At this venue, both teams scored in 0 of 1 game and there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 1 game

历史交锋

No data is available for previous head-to-head encounters between Greece and Italy

关键球员

For Greece, Georgios Masouras is in good form, with 1 season goal and 0 assists and a season average rating of 7.07

Christos Tzolis has provided 1 season assist and scored 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 4 games, showing a rising form trend

Anastasios Douvikas scored 2 goals in his last 5 games, indicating a rising form

For Italy, Pio Esposito is a key player with 1 season goal and a season average rating of 7.6

Niccolò Pisilli has 1 season assist and contributed 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 5 games, showing a rising form trend

Cher Ndour showed stable form with 1 goal in his last 5 games

门将

Greece's goalkeeper Odysseas Vlachodimos has achieved 1 clean sheet this season

Italy's goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma has achieved 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

The Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis venue has an average of 4.0 total goals per game

At this stadium, the Over 2.5 goals mark was exceeded in 1 of 1 game, and both teams scored in 0 of 1 game

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