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La Liga

Levante - Deportivo Alavés

02/27/2026, 08:00 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Levante
0.9
Total xG
2.6
Deportivo Alavés
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

0:2

11%

1:2

10%

0:3

6%

1:3

5%
xG 分解
LEVDA

Levante

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.37倍)
-1.03
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.20
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)

Deportivo Alavés

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
+0.96
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.03
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

18%

平局

27%

客胜

56%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

44%

客胜或平局

82%

非平局

73%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Levante's massive form crisis (four consecutive losses) contrasts with Alavés' more stable condition, who have a 56% win probability according to the mathematical prediction
  • Both defensive lines are extremely vulnerable: Levante concedes 2.09 goals per game at home, Alavés 2.12 away
  • Levante's offense has recently been ineffective according to stats (0.5 goals on average), while Alavés scores consistently (1.4 goals on average)
风险因素
  • Despite the current form, the historical record of the last five duels is balanced with two wins each
  • Deportivo Alavés has had only four days of rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
  • Levante must do without injured players R. Brugué Ayguadé and U. Elgezabal Udondo
概述

Levante (19th place, 18 points) host Deportivo Alavés (14th place, 27 points) at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

This is a key La Liga match in the relegation battle on February 27, 2026, 9:00 PM

For Levante, it's about not losing touch, while Alavés aims to increase the gap to the relegation zone

近期状态

Levante's form is worrying with four consecutive losses and one draw (Form: DLLLL)

In the last five games, they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses

Deportivo Alavés appears slightly more stable with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches (Form: WLLDD)

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Both teams have defensive weaknesses

Levante concedes an average of 2.09 goals at home, while Alavés concedes an average of 2.12 goals away

Offensively, both teams are below average, with Levante scoring 1.0 home goals per game and Alavés 0.88 away goals

Both teams scored in 12 of Levante's 25 matches, and in 14 of Alavés' 25 matches

历史交锋

The record of the last five head-to-head matches is completely balanced with two wins each for Levante and Deportivo Alavés, and one draw

The goal difference is 5-3 in favor of Levante

The last encounter was won by Alavés 2-1

关键球员

For Levante, the offensive players Iván Romero (4 goals, 1 assist) and Carlos Álvarez (3 goals, 1 assist) are under pressure

For Deportivo Alavés, Lucas Boyé (7 goals, 1 assist) and Toni Martínez (5 goals, 2 assists) are the crucial attackers

They are supported by midfielder Carles Aleñá, who has already provided 4 assists

门将

Mathew Ryan is in goal for Levante, whose team has kept 4 clean sheets this season

For Deportivo Alavés, Antonio Sivera is the goalkeeper; his team has managed 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Levante has significant defensive problems at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, conceding an average of 2.09 goals per home game

The last five matches at the stadium have been rather low-scoring, with an average of 2.0 goals

Alavés is also very vulnerable on the road, conceding an average of 2.12 goals

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