Friendly International

Poland - Nigeria

06/03/2026, 06:45 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Poland
1.8
Total xG
3.0
Nigeria
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
POLNIG

Poland

排名优势 (第36位 vs 第45位, 相差9位)
+0.08
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.07
全员可用

Nigeria

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.47倍)
+0.51
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.22
排名劣势 (第45位 vs 第36位, 相差9位)
-0.12
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.01
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.37
+0.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

26%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

74%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: A home win for Poland is calculated with 48% probability, compared to 25% for Nigeria
  • Current Form: Nigeria shows better form with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 games, compared to Poland's 1 loss in their last match
  • Tactical approach: Nigeria is possession-dominant with an average of 65% possession and 3 shots on target in their last 5 games
风险因素
  • Short recovery time for Poland with only 3 days since their last match
  • Poland recorded an average of only 2.0 shots on target in their last game, indicating few attempts
  • Limited data availability regarding Poland's season statistics, which complicates the overall assessment
概述

Poland hosts Nigeria in a Friendly International match at Stadion Narodowy on June 3, 2026, 6:45 PM

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Poland's last recorded match result was a loss (L 0-2 against Ukraine)

Nigeria's form over their last five games is DLWDW

Nigeria recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in this period

统计数据

Poland has scored 0 goals and conceded 2 goals this season

Nigeria averaged 2.0 goals scored per game and 1.0 goal conceded per game in 3 games

Nigeria kept 1 clean sheet this season and had both teams score in 2 matches

Nigeria averaged 2.0 goals scored away and 1.5 goals conceded away

历史交锋

There are no previous head-to-head encounters between Poland and Nigeria available in the dataset

关键球员

For Poland, Jan Bednarek stands out with an average rating of 7.36 in the last 5 games

Robert Lewandowski (1 goal in last 5 games) and Sebastian Szymanski (1 goal in last 5 games) also show rising form

For Nigeria, Akor Adams shows rising form with 2 goals in his last 5 games and a rating of 6.96

Moses Simon (2 season goals) and Emmanuel Fernandez (1 season goal) are also notable

门将

Kamil Grabara is the goalkeeper for Poland

Maduka Okoye (Nigeria) has recorded 1 clean sheet this season

Poland has not recorded any clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will take place at Stadion Narodowy, which has a grass surface

Poland has conceded 2 goals in home matches so far

Nigeria has scored 4 goals and conceded 3 goals in away matches

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