La Liga
Real Betis - Sevilla
03/01/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.8
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Real Betis
Sevilla
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
28%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Sevilla's attack is severely weakened by absences, with only 47% of their seasonal goalscorers available
- Strong contrast in home and away strength: Real Betis is very stable at home (avg 0.93 goals conceded), while Sevilla is defensively vulnerable away (avg 1.82 goals conceded)
- The mathematical analysis clearly favors Real Betis with a 45% win probability, supported by a prediction of 1.57 expected goals for the home team
风险因素
- Real Betis's recent offensive output is declining, with 1.2 goals per game being below their season average of 1.6
- Although Sevilla is missing many key players, their overall recent form is solid with only one loss in the last five games
概述
In the city derby, Real Betis (5th place, 42 points) hosts rivals Sevilla (12th place, 29 points)
The La Liga match will take place on March 1, 2026, at 6:30 PM at the Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla
Real Betis enters the match as favorites, fighting for European spots, while Sevilla is in the mid-table
近期状态
Real Betis Form: WLWWD
In their last five games, Betis has secured 3 wins, 1 draw, and suffered 1 loss
Sevilla Form: WLDDW
Sevilla has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches
Both teams are showing solid but not outstanding form
统计数据
Real Betis scores an average of 1.6 goals per game, while Sevilla averages 1.28 goals
Betis is particularly strong at home, conceding an average of just 0.93 goals
Sevilla's defense is vulnerable away, conceding an average of 1.82 goals per game on the road
In the last 5 games at the Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla, there has been an average of 3.0 goals
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Real Betis has the edge with 2 wins to 1 loss and 2 draws
The goal difference is 6:4 in favor of Real Betis
Real Betis won the last meeting 2:0
关键球员
Cucho Hernández is a key factor in Betis's attack with 8 season goals
Antony has contributed 6 goals and 5 assists
Pablo Fornals is also a central figure in midfield with 6 goals and 4 assists
For Sevilla, Akor Adams is the most dangerous attacker with 6 goals and 4 assists
Djibril Sow has scored 4 goals this season
Gabriel Suazo is a key player in defense with a high season rating of 6.96
门将
In goal for Real Betis is Álvaro Valles, who has been part of the team's 8 clean sheets this season
Odysseas Vlachodimos is Sevilla's goalkeeper and has been involved in 5 clean sheets
Statistically, the defense in front of Valles has had a more stable season so far
影响因素
Real Betis enjoys a clear home advantage, reflected in their 1.64 goals scored versus only 0.93 goals conceded per home game
The stadium's statistics suggest a high-scoring match, with an average of 3.0 goals in recent games
Both teams scored in 60% of the last matches at the Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla