Friendly International

Bolivia - Algeria

06/11/2026, 12:00 AM

0 : 4
预期进球
Bolivia
0.8
Total xG
3.0
Algeria
2.2
最可能的比分

0:2

12%

1:1

10%

1:2

10%

0:3

9%

1:3

7%
xG 分解
BOLALG

Bolivia

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-1.22
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.72
排名劣势 (第77位 vs 第38位, 相差39位)
-0.14
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.06
Fernando Nava替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

Algeria

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2倍)
+1.58
防守实力 (场均失0.3球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-1.11
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
-0.92
排名优势 (第38位 vs 第77位, 相差39位)
+0.16
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
-0.03
Houssem Aouar替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Amine Gouiri替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

11%

平局

20%

客胜

69%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

31%

客胜或平局

89%

非平局

80%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Critical Squad Impact: Bolivia has only 0% of its usual goal threat available without Fernando Nava (1G/1A)
  • Form Disparity: Algeria shows significantly better form (WWWDW) than Bolivia (DLWLL)
  • Pipeline Prediction: Mathematical analysis predicts an away win with a probability of 69%
风险因素
  • Limited Data: xG values are missing for 4 of Bolivia's last 5 games
  • Algeria's Offensive Efficiency: Averaged 3.8 shots on target in their last 5 games, despite a strong scoring record
概述

Bolivia hosts Algeria at the Estadio Hernando Siles for an International Friendly. The match will take place on June 11, 2026, 1:00 AM. This is an opportunity for both teams to test their form and refine tactics.

近期状态

Bolivia's current form (DLWLL) shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches. Most recently, they suffered a 0-4 loss against Scotland and a 1-2 loss against Iraq. Algeria's form (WWWDW) is significantly better with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five games. They recently secured a 1-0 win against Netherlands and a 0-0 draw against Uruguay. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Bolivia averages 0.94 goals scored per game and concedes 1.94 goals. In home games, they are defensively more stable with an average of 0.5 goals conceded, but also score only 0.93 home goals. Algeria shows strong offensive performance this season with an average of 2.4 goals per game and concedes only 0.8 goals. Away from home, they score an average of 2.5 goals and concede 0.5 goals. At the venue, the last 4 games averaged 3.0 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 1 of 4 matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 3 of 4 matches.

历史交锋

There has been only one direct encounter between these two teams so far. Algeria won this match 3-2 on March 22, 2024. The historical record therefore shows Algeria's dominance in this short history.

关键球员

For Bolivia, Miguelito with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games (avg rating 7.21) and Moises Paniagua with 1 goal (avg rating 6.83) show rising form. Roberto Fernández is also notable with a rising form and a rating of 6.54. For Algeria, Nabil Bentaleb is an important midfielder with an average rating of 7.32 and 1 assist in the last 5 games. Aïssa Mandi shows a rising form with an average rating of 7.16, and Ibrahim Maza provided 1 assist in the last 5 games with an average rating of 6.88. Not selected are Houssem Aouar (1 goal, 1 assist) and Amine Gouiri (2 goals, 0 assists).

门将

Carlos Lampe is expected in goal for Bolivia, while Oussama Benbout is set to start for Algeria. Bolivia recorded 6 clean sheets this season, while Algeria achieved 3 clean sheets.

影响因素

Bolivia's home strength is evident in their defensive statistics, with only 0.5 goals conceded on average in home games. The Estadio Hernando Siles venue has seen an average of 3.0 goals in 4 matches, with an Over 2.5 rate of 75% and a BTTS rate of 25%. The playing surface is grass.

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