La Liga
FC Barcelona - Villarreal
02/28/2026, 03:15 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.7
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%xG 分解
FC Barcelona
Villarreal
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
28%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Dominant home strength meets vulnerable away defense: Barça is a force at Camp Nou (2.64 goals scored vs 0.36 conceded per game), while Villarreal concedes 1.6 goals per away game
- Tactical mismatch: Barcelona's possession-heavy style (71% possession) and high shot volume will put immense pressure on Villarreal
- Key absences: Villarreal is significantly weakened by the absence of top scorer Gerard Moreno (7 season goals), leaving only 79% of their goal threat available
风险因素
- Contrasting form trends: Barcelona's goal production has dropped from 2.6 to 1.8 goals per game, while Villarreal's has increased from 1.7 to 2.0
- Unpredictable head-to-heads: Direct encounters are often high-scoring and unpredictable, with Villarreal having won two of the last five meetings
概述
A top-of-the-table clash in La Liga as league leaders FC Barcelona (1st place, 61 points) host third-placed Villarreal (3rd place, 51 points)
The match takes place on February 28, 2026, 4:15 PM at Camp Nou
This is a crucial encounter for both teams in the title race
近期状态
FC Barcelona Form: WWLLW
In the last 5 matches, they have recorded 3 wins and 2 losses
Villarreal Form: DWLWW
The visitors are in good form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss from their last 5 games
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
FC Barcelona has the strongest attack in the league, averaging 2.68 goals per game
At home, they are a powerhouse, conceding only 0.36 goals on average
Villarreal is also dangerous in front of goal with 1.88 goals per game but is vulnerable away, conceding an average of 1.6 goals
The last 5 home games at Camp Nou have seen an average of 3.2 goals per match
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, FC Barcelona has the edge with 3 wins, while Villarreal has won 2
There have been no draws
The goal difference is 16:12 in favor of Barcelona, indicating high-scoring matches
The last meeting ended in a 2-0 win for Barcelona
关键球员
Lamine Yamal (10 goals, 9 assists), Ferran Torres (12 goals, 1 assist), and Dani Olmo (6 goals, 6 assists) are the key figures in Barcelona's attack
For Villarreal, hopes are pinned on Alberto Moleiro (9 goals, 4 assists), Georges Mikautadze (8 goals, 4 assists), and Nicolas Pépé (3 goals, 4 assists)
门将
Joan García is in goal for FC Barcelona, whose team has kept 10 clean sheets this season
His counterpart is Luiz Júnior of Villarreal, whose team has kept a clean sheet 8 times so far
影响因素
The home advantage for FC Barcelona at Camp Nou is immense
They score an average of 2.64 goals at home and concede only 0.36
Statistics from recent games at the stadium point to a high-scoring affair, with an average of 3.2 goals and an over 2.5 rate of 80%