La Liga
Elche - Espanyol
03/01/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
3.5
2.2
1:2
9%1:3
7%2:2
6%2:1
6%0:3
5%xG 分解
Elche
Espanyol
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
21%
平局
22%
客胜
57%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
双重机会
主胜或平局
43%
客胜或平局
79%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
66%
否
34%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis clearly favors Espanyol with a 57% win probability and 2.23 expected goals
- Contrasting offensive trends: Espanyol has been scoring more frequently recently (1.6 goals/game) than their season average, while Elche's goal production (1.3) is declining
- Historical dominance: Espanyol is undefeated in the last five head-to-head matches (3 wins, 2 draws)
风险因素
- Extremely poor form for both teams (LLLDL), which makes the outcome unpredictable
- Elche's strong home defense (only avg 0.81 goals conceded) could neutralize Espanyol's attack, contradicting the high goal prediction
概述
Elche (17th place, 25 points) hosts Espanyol (9th place, 35 points) at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
The La Liga match takes place on March 1, 2026, 2:00 PM
Elche is fighting for crucial points against relegation, while Espanyol aims to stay in touch with the top half of the table
近期状态
Both teams are in extremely poor form
Elche's form from the last five games: LLLDL (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)
Espanyol's form from the last five games: LLLDL (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)
Neither team has won any of their last five matches and are in desperate need of a victory
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
The season statistics of both teams are strikingly similar
Both Elche and Espanyol have conceded 37 goals in 25 matches (avg 1.48 per game)
Offensively, they are also nearly identical, with 32 goals for Elche (avg 1.28) and 31 for Espanyol (avg 1.24)
A significant difference is Elche's home strength: they concede only avg 0.81 goals at home, whereas Espanyol concedes avg 1.58 goals away
历史交锋
The historical record clearly favors Espanyol
In the last five direct encounters, there were 3 wins for Espanyol and 2 draws, with Elche failing to win
The goal difference is 8:4 in favor of Espanyol
The last meeting was won by Espanyol 1-0
关键球员
André Silva (6 season goals)
Rafa Mir (6 season goals)
Germán Valera (4 goals, 3 assists)
Pere Milla (6 season goals)
Kike García (4 goals, 1 assist)
Carlos Romero (4 goals, 2 assists)
门将
In goal, Matías Dituro for Elche will face Manuel Iori for Espanyol
So far this season, Espanyol has kept 7 clean sheets
Elche has managed this in 6 matches
影响因素
Elche has a strong defensive record at their home stadium, conceding an average of just 0.81 goals per game
Matches at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero have been high-scoring recently, with an average of 3.2 goals in the last five games
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of these home matches