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La Liga

Girona - Celta de Vigo

03/01/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Girona
1.1
Total xG
2.9
Celta de Vigo
1.8
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

10%

0:2

9%

2:1

6%

1:3

6%
xG 分解
GIRCDV

Girona

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.01

Celta de Vigo

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.45倍)
+1.13
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.05
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.01
Borja Iglesias未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Iago Aspas未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Javi Rueda未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
70%进球产出缺失 (仅29%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

22%

平局

26%

客胜

53%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

47%

客胜或平局

78%

非平局

74%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Celta de Vigo are in superior form with three consecutive wins, while Girona's performance is inconsistent
  • Celta are stronger away (1.36 goals/game) than Girona are at home (1.00 goals/game)
  • Celta's attack (1.36 goals/game) meets one of the league's weaker defenses (Girona concedes 1.60 goals/game)
风险因素
  • Celta de Vigo are missing key players like Borja Iglesias and Iago Aspas, leaving only 29% of their season's goal threat available
  • Girona is undefeated in the last 5 head-to-head matches against Celta de Vigo (2 wins, 3 draws)
  • Celta de Vigo has a shorter recovery time with only 3 days since their last match
概述

Girona (11th place, 30 points) host Celta de Vigo (6th place, 37 points) at the Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

La Liga match on March 1, 2026, 9:00 PM

Celta de Vigo are fighting for European spots, while Girona are in the mid-table

近期状态

Girona's form in the last 5 games: D-L-D-W-D (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss)

Celta de Vigo's form in the last 5 games: L-D-W-W-W (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)

Celta de Vigo are in excellent form with three consecutive wins

Girona's form is inconsistent with only one win in their last five matches

(Form: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Girona scores an average of 1.04 goals per game this season and concedes 1.60

Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.36 goals and concedes 1.08

At home, Girona averages 1.00 goals scored but concedes 1.58

Away from home, Celta de Vigo are strong, scoring 1.36 and conceding only 1.09 goals per game

In 15 of 25 games for both teams, both teams scored

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there have been 2 wins for Girona, 0 wins for Celta de Vigo, and 3 draws

Girona scored 6 goals in these matches, while Celta de Vigo scored 4

The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw

Girona are undefeated in recent meetings

关键球员

Vladyslav Vanat is Girona's top scorer with 8 goals this season

Viktor Tsygankov has contributed with 5 goals and 2 assists

Azzedine Ounahi is a key midfielder with 3 goals and 2 assists

Ferran Jutglà has scored 3 goals for Celta this season

Hugo Álvarez has been directly involved in 3 goals (2 goals, 1 assist)

Defender Óscar Mingueza has 1 goal and 2 assists to his name

门将

Girona's goalkeeper Paulo Gazzaniga has kept 4 clean sheets in 25 league games

Celta de Vigo's goalkeeper Ionuț Radu boasts double the amount with 8 clean sheets

影响因素

Girona has a negative record at home, scoring 1.00 goals and conceding 1.58 per game

The Estadi Municipal de Montilivi is not a fortress for the home team

An average of 2.2 goals were scored in the last 5 home games

This suggests a match with a moderate number of goals

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