La Liga
Real Madrid - Getafe
03/02/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
2.4
3.3
1.0
2:0
10%2:1
10%1:1
9%3:0
8%3:1
8%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
67%
平局
20%
客胜
13%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
42%
Under 3.5
58%
双重机会
主胜或平局
87%
客胜或平局
33%
非平局
80%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Class difference in the table: Real Madrid (2nd) is fighting for the title, while Getafe (13th) is in the mid-table
- Historical dominance: Real Madrid has won all of the last 5 head-to-head matches, with a goal difference of 8-1
- Fortress Bernabéu: Real Madrid is extremely strong at home (2.23 goals per game) and faces a Getafe side that is weak away (1.38 goals conceded per game)
风险因素
- Significant injury concerns for Real Madrid: The absence of top scorer K. Mbappé (23 season goals) and key player J. Bellingham significantly weakens the offense
- Getafe's improving form: Getafe has been scoring more frequently recently (1.3 goals per game) than their season average (0.9)
概述
Real Madrid (2nd place, 60 points) hosts Getafe (13th place, 29 points) at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
La Liga match on March 2, 2026, 9:00 PM
The hosts are clear favorites and aim to stay in the title race, while Getafe is collecting points for a secure mid-table position
近期状态
Real Madrid is in strong form with 4 wins from the last 5 matches
Their form string is: W W W L W
Getafe, on the other hand, has won only 2 of their last 5 games and lost the most recent one
Their form is: D D W W L
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Real Madrid's attack is clearly superior, averaging 2.16 goals per game, while Getafe scores only 0.8
Real Madrid is especially dominant at home, scoring an average of 2.23 goals
Getafe is vulnerable away, conceding 1.38 goals per game while only scoring 0.77 themselves
Getafe has failed to score in 11 of their 25 league games this season
历史交锋
The recent head-to-head record speaks very clearly in favor of Real Madrid
In the last 5 direct encounters, Real Madrid won every single match
The goal difference is 8-1 in favor of the home team
The last meeting ended in a 1-0 victory for Real Madrid
关键球员
For Real Madrid, Vinicius Junior (9 season goals, 5 assists) and Arda Güler (3 goals, 7 assists) are crucial for the offense
Federico Valverde has also contributed 7 assists
For Getafe, Mauro Arambarri with 5 season goals and Luis Milla with 8 assists are the most important players in midfield
Luis Vázquez has also drawn attention with 2 goals in 5 appearances
门将
In goal for Real Madrid is Thibaut Courtois, who has kept 11 clean sheets this season
For Getafe, David Soria is the goalkeeper, having achieved 6 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Real Madrid enjoys a tremendous home advantage at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
They score an average of 2.23 goals at home and concede only 0.62
The stadium has recently proven to be very high-scoring, with an average of 4.0 goals in the last five home matches