La Liga
Valencia - Osasuna
03/01/2026, 03:15 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
10%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Valencia
Osasuna
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
32%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Strong form contrast: Osasuna is unbeaten in five games, while Valencia has lost four of their last five matches
- Osasuna's blatant away weakness: With an average of 2.14 goals conceded per away game, the visitors' defense is particularly vulnerable
- Contrasting offensive trends: Osasuna has been scoring more frequently than their season average recently, while Valencia's goal production has stalled
风险因素
- Low goal threat from Valencia: The home team creates only 2.4 shots on target per game on average, making it difficult to exploit defensive gaps
- Osasuna without a creative player: Suspended midfielder Aimar Oroz is missing, which could impact the visitors' offensive creativity
概述
Valencia (16th place, 26 points) host Osasuna (10th place, 33 points) at Estadio de Mestalla
The La Liga match will take place on March 1, 2026, at 4:15 PM
Valencia aims to distance themselves from the relegation zone, while Osasuna looks to solidify their mid-table position
The mathematical analysis expects a close match with a slight tendency towards a home win (37%)
近期状态
Valencia form: LLLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last five matches, they have secured only one win alongside four losses
Osasuna form: WDWDW
Osasuna is unbeaten in their last five matches, winning three of them
The form curve clearly favors the visitors
统计数据
Offensively, Osasuna is slightly stronger with an average of 1.2 goals per game compared to Valencia's 1.04 goals
Defensively, Osasuna has been more stable over the season (1.16 goals conceded) than Valencia (1.56 goals conceded)
However, Osasuna is very vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.14 goals per game
Valencia is significantly stronger defensively at home, conceding only 0.93 goals on average
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Osasuna has a slight edge with two wins, compared to one for Valencia and two draws
The goal difference is also narrowly in favor of Osasuna at 6:5
Osasuna won the last meeting 1-0
关键球员
For Valencia, Luis Rioja (2 goals, 4 assists), Largie Ramazani (3 goals, 1 assist), and Umar Sadiq (1 goal in the last 5 games) could be influential
For Osasuna, Ante Budimir is the standout player with 12 seasonal goals, supported by Rubén García (2 goals, 5 assists) and Víctor Muñoz (4 goals)
门将
In goal for Valencia is Stole Dimitrievski, who has played in 7 matches this season
Osasuna's goal is kept by Sergio Herrera, who has featured in all 25 season matches
Both teams have kept 6 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Valencia benefits from a clear home advantage in defense, conceding less than one goal per game at Mestalla
Recent matches at Estadio de Mestalla have been high-scoring with an average of 2.8 goals, and both teams scored in 4 out of 5 cases
Osasuna's biggest weakness is their defense in away games, which allows over two goals on average