La Liga
Villarreal - Elche
03/08/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
2.7
0.8
2:0
12%1:1
12%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
6%xG 分解
Villarreal
Elche
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
61%
平局
25%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
39%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Pipeline forecast: The mathematical analysis predicts Villarreal to win with a 61% probability
- Home strength vs. Away weakness: Villarreal scores an average of 1.81 goals at home and concedes 0.69, while Elche concedes an average of 2.67 goals away
- Form trend: Villarreal won 3 of their last 5 games, whereas Elche remained winless in the same period
风险因素
- Villarreal: Counter-attacking oriented (43% possession), 3.4 shots on target (average)
- Limited attacking threat for Elche: Only 89% of the usual starting XI's assists are available without Pedro Bigas
概述
Villarreal (4th place, 51 points) host Elche (17th place, 26 points) at the Estadio de la Cerámica
The La Liga match is on March 8, 2026, 2:00 PM
Villarreal aims to improve its league position, while Elche fights for survival
近期状态
Villarreal's form in the last 5 games is WLWWL, consisting of 3 wins and 2 losses
Their last match ended in a loss
Elche's form over the last 5 games is LLDLD, meaning 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
Their last game was a draw
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Villarreal averages 1.85 goals scored and 1.19 goals conceded per game
These values improve at home to 1.81 goals scored and only 0.69 goals conceded per home game
Elche averages 1.31 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Elche's defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per away game
Villarreal home matches have seen an average of 3.4 goals in 5 games
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 home matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In the 5 previous head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 3 and Elche won 2, with no draws
Villarreal scored 12 goals and Elche scored 6
The last encounter on January 3, 2026, resulted in a 3-1 victory for Villarreal
Villarreal has been the more dominant side in recent meetings
关键球员
For Villarreal, Alberto Moleiro (9 goals, 4 assists) and Georges Mikautadze (8 goals, 4 assists) stand out, both with rising form trends
Nicolas Pépé contributed 3 goals and 4 assists
For Elche, Álvaro Rodríguez (5 goals, 4 assists) and Germán Valera (4 goals, 3 assists) are important attacking players
Rafa Mir scored 7 season goals
门将
Luiz Júnior is Villarreal's goalkeeper, with 8 clean sheets this season
Matías Dituro is Elche's goalkeeper, Elche has achieved 6 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Villarreal demonstrates strong home performance with an average of 1.81 goals scored and only 0.69 goals conceded per home game
The venue surface is grass
The Estadio de la Cerámica has seen an average of 3.4 total goals in its last 5 games
Both teams scored in 80% of matches and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80%