La Liga
Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad
03/07/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
1.9
3.3
1.4
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Atlético Madrid
Real Sociedad
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
25%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
42%
Under 3.5
58%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
66%
否
34%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis favors Atlético Madrid with a 46% win probability and 1.85 expected goals
- Home strength and form: Atlético Madrid's positive form and strong home performance (1.67 goals scored, 0.56 goals conceded per home game) speak for them
- Historical record: Atlético Madrid dominated head-to-head matches with 3 wins and no losses in 5 encounters
风险因素
- Fatigue: Real Sociedad had only 3 days rest since their last match
- Defensive weakness: Real Sociedad recorded only 2 clean sheets in 26 games
- High-scoring game: The pipeline prediction for 'Both Teams to Score' is 66%, indicating a potentially open match
概述
Atlético Madrid (3rd place, 51 points) host Real Sociedad (8th place, 35 points) at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. La Liga match on March 7, 2026, 5:30 PM. The Colchoneros are fighting for a top spot, while Real Sociedad aims to consolidate their position in the upper mid-table.
近期状态
Atlético Madrid's current form across all competitions is DWWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). They recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Atlético Madrid's form trend is described as positive. Real Sociedad shows a form of WLDWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games. Real Sociedad's form trend is negative.
统计数据
Atlético Madrid scores an average of 1.65 goals per game and concedes 0.88 goals. At home, these values improve to 1.67 goals scored and 0.56 goals conceded. Real Sociedad averages 1.46 goals scored and 1.46 goals conceded per match. Away, they score 1.4 goals and concede 1.8 goals on average. The Riyadh Air Metropolitano records an average of 3.8 goals per game, with a 60% 'Both teams scored' rate and an 80% 'Over 2.5 goals' rate.
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid secured 3 wins, while Real Sociedad did not win any. 2 games ended in a draw. The goal difference of 10:3 clearly favors Atlético. The last encounter on January 4, 2026, ended 1:1. Atlético is described as the recently dominant team in direct duels.
关键球员
For Atlético Madrid, Alexander Sørloth (9 goals), Thiago Almada (3 goals, 1 assist, declining form trend), and Álex Baena (2 goals, 2 assists, declining form trend) are noteworthy. For Real Sociedad, Mikel Oyarzabal (10 goals, 3 assists, declining form trend), Gonçalo Guedes (6 goals, 4 assists, rising form trend), and Carlos Soler (3 goals, 2 assists, rising form trend) stand out.
门将
The goalkeeper for Atlético Madrid is Jan Oblak. Real Sociedad's goalkeeper is Álex Remiro (rising form trend). Atlético Madrid recorded 11 clean sheets this season, while Real Sociedad achieved 2 clean sheets.
影响因素
The Riyadh Air Metropolitano is a high-scoring venue with an average of 3.8 goals per game, a 60% 'Both teams scored' rate, and an 80% 'Over 2.5 goals' rate. Atlético Madrid is offensively strong and defensively stable at home, with 1.67 goals scored and 0.56 goals conceded per home game. Real Sociedad concedes an average of 1.8 goals per away game.