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La Liga

Valencia - Deportivo Alavés

03/08/2026, 08:00 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Valencia
1.3
Total xG
2.2
Deportivo Alavés
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

14%

0:0

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
VALDA

Valencia

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.14
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.09
Lucas Beltrán未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Pepelu替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
27%进球产出缺失 (仅91%可用)

Deportivo Alavés

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.08
Pablo Ibáñez未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Victor Parada未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

32%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

68%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 47% win probability for Valencia with 1.33 predicted home goals
  • Valencia's home defense is solid, conceding an average of 0.87 goals per home game
  • Deportivo Alavés shows a negative form trend (0 wins in their last 5 games) and concedes an average of 2.38 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Valencia's offensive efficiency might be hampered by an average of only 1.8 shots on target
  • The historical head-to-head record shows 3 wins and 2 draws for Deportivo Alavés
概述

Valencia (15th place, 29 points) host Deportivo Alavés (16th place, 27 points) at Estadio de Mestalla

La Liga match on March 8, 2026, 9:00 PM

A clash in the lower mid-table, where both teams seek crucial points against relegation

近期状态

Valencia's form in the last five games is LLWLW

This consists of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses

Deportivo Alavés' form in the last five matches is LLDDL

This translates to 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Valencia averages 1.04 goals per game and concedes 1.5 goals

In home games, Valencia averages 1.07 goals scored and 0.87 goals conceded

Deportivo Alavés averages 0.88 goals per game and concedes 1.31 goals

In away games, Deportivo Alavés averages 0.88 goals scored and 2.38 goals conceded

Valencia kept 7 clean sheets, while Deportivo Alavés managed 3

At Estadio de Mestalla, an average of 2.6 total goals were scored in the last 5 matches

In 3 of 5 games at Mestalla, both teams scored, and in 2 of 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia recorded 0 wins and Deportivo Alavés recorded 3 wins

Two matches ended in a draw

The goal difference in these encounters is 2:5 in favor of Deportivo Alavés

The last meeting on October 20, 2025, ended in a 0:0 draw

The recent record shows dominance by the away team

关键球员

For Valencia, Umar Sadiq, an attacker, is important with 1 goal in 3 games and 0.16 goals per 90 minutes this season

Thierry Correia, a defender, shows stable form with a trend delta of 0.16

Unai Núñez, also a defender, has stable form with a trend delta of 0.14

For Deportivo Alavés, Toni Martínez, an attacker, stands out with 2 goals in 3 games and 0.26 goals per 90 minutes this season

Lucas Boyé, an attacker, scored 1 goal in 3 games and has 0.45 season goals per 90 minutes

Carles Aleñá, a midfielder, provided 1 assist in 3 games and shows a rising form with a trend delta of 0.20

门将

Valencia's goalkeeper, Stole Dimitrievski, has an average season rating of 6.88

He has kept 7 clean sheets in total this season

Antonio Sivera is Deportivo Alavés' goalkeeper with an average season rating of 6.74

He has managed to keep 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Valencia averages 1.07 goals scored at home and concedes 0.87 goals

Deportivo Alavés averages 0.88 goals scored away and concedes 2.38 goals

At Estadio de Mestalla, an average of 2.6 goals were scored in the last 5 matches

There are no specific records for either team on grass surfaces in the dataset

The stadium has seen both teams score in 3 of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 games

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