La Liga
Athletic Club - FC Barcelona
03/07/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
3.4
2.1
1:1
10%1:2
10%0:2
7%1:3
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Athletic Club
FC Barcelona
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
23%
平局
24%
客胜
53%
进球数
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
双重机会
主胜或平局
47%
客胜或平局
77%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
66%
否
34%
关键因素
- FC Barcelona has an away win probability of 53%
- FC Barcelona's offense is very strong this season with an average of 2.73 goals per game
- FC Barcelona dominated the recent head-to-head matches
- Tactical analysis shows Barcelona's ball-dominant playstyle with 6.8 shots on target
风险因素
- Athletic Club has only 3 days of rest since the last match
- FC Barcelona concedes an average of 1.82 goals per away game
概述
Athletic Club (9th place, 35 points) host FC Barcelona (1st place, 64 points) at San Mamés Barria
La Liga match on March 7, 2026, 9:00 PM
Barcelona is fighting at the top of the table, while Athletic Club is in mid-table
The mathematical analysis predicts an away win with a probability of 53%
近期状态
Athletic Club's form in the last five games is LWWDL
This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
The last game ended in a loss
FC Barcelona's form in the last five games is LLWWW
This corresponds to 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses
The last game was a win
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Athletic Club scores an average of 1.15 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.38 goals
Both teams scored in 14 games, and 12 games ended with over 2.5 goals
FC Barcelona scores an average of 2.73 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.00 goal
Both teams scored in 16 games, and 22 games ended with over 2.5 goals
The pipeline predicts that both teams will score with 66% probability
Over 2.5 goals are calculated by the model with 66% probability
At San Mamés Barria, an average of 3.4 goals per game are scored
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and 3 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals
According to advanced stats, Athletic Club's current goal production (1.0) is stalling compared to their season average (1.3)
FC Barcelona's goal production (2.2) is also stalling compared to their season average (2.6)
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for Athletic Club, 3 wins for FC Barcelona, and 1 draw
FC Barcelona scored 11 goals and Athletic Club scored 5 goals
The last encounter on November 22, 2025, ended in a 0:4 away win for FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona dominated recent encounters
关键球员
For Athletic Club, Álex Berenguer (2 goals, 3 assists, avg. 6.9), Iñaki Williams (2 goals, 2 assists, avg. 6.72), and Mikel Jauregizar (2 goals, 0 assists, avg. 6.88) are important players
Not nominated: Gorka Guruzeta (6G/1A), Yuri Berchiche (0G/3A), Oihan Sancet (2G/0A), Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta (1G/1A)
For FC Barcelona, Lamine Yamal (13 goals, 9 assists, avg. 8.08), Ferran Torres (12 goals, 1 assist, avg. 6.96), and Dani Olmo (6 goals, 6 assists, avg. 7.39) are important players
Not nominated: Fermín López (5G/7A), Raphinha (8G/3A), Frenkie de Jong (1G/4A), Jules Koundé (1G/3A), Alejandro Balde (0G/2A)
门将
Unai Simón of Athletic Club has achieved 5 clean sheets this season
Joan García of FC Barcelona has achieved 10 clean sheets
Joan García shows a strongly declining form trend (delta -1.60) according to the last 5 games
影响因素
Athletic Club scored 17 goals at home and conceded 15 goals
FC Barcelona scored 30 goals away and conceded 20 goals
At San Mamés Barria, an average of 3.4 goals per game were scored
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
The playing surface is grass