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La Liga

Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid

03/06/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Celta de Vigo
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Real Madrid
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

0:1

9%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
CDVRM

Celta de Vigo

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.37
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.06
Javi Rueda未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Hugo Álvarez未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)

Real Madrid

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.19
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
-0.19
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.07
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.3倍)
+0.06
Gonzalo García未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Álvaro Carreras 未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
48%进球产出缺失 (仅72%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.7球 vs 总体2.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

31%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

69%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Form Trend: Celta de Vigo shows a positive form trend (1.8 goals recently) while Real Madrid's goal production is stagnating (1.6 goals recently).
  • Critical Absences Real Madrid: Only 73% of the usual starting XI strength is available, including important attacking players.
  • Historical Dominance Real Madrid: Despite Celta de Vigo's last H2H victory, the overall record of 4 out of 5 wins clearly favors Real Madrid.
概述

Celta de Vigo (6th place, 40 points) host Real Madrid (2nd place, 60 points) at the Estadio de Balaídos. The La Liga match takes place on March 6, 2026, 9:00 PM. Celta de Vigo are fighting for European spots, while Real Madrid aim to keep pace with the league leaders.

近期状态

Celta de Vigo is in excellent form with a WWWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last five matches.

They have achieved 4 wins and 1 draw, with their last result being a win and boasting a streak of 4 consecutive wins.

Real Madrid shows a form of WLWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last five games.

The Royals recorded 3 wins and 2 losses, with their last match ending in a loss.

统计数据

Celta de Vigo averages 1.38 goals scored per game and concedes 1.08 goals per game this season.

In home games, they average 1.36 goals scored and 1.07 goals conceded.

They have kept 8 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Real Madrid averages 2.08 goals scored per game and concedes 0.85 goals per game.

Away from home, they average 2.08 goals scored and 1.08 goals conceded.

Real Madrid has achieved 11 clean sheets this season.

The venue, Estadio de Balaídos, sees an average of 2.4 total goals per game.

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games.

历史交锋

In the previous 5 head-to-head matches, the record favors Real Madrid.

Real Madrid won 4 of these encounters, while Celta de Vigo secured one victory, with no draws.

The goal difference of 14:7 clearly points to Real Madrid.

The last direct clash on December 7, 2025, ended in a 2:0 victory for Celta de Vigo, despite Real Madrid's historical dominance.

关键球员

For Celta de Vigo, the following players are crucial:

Borja Iglesias leads with 10 goals and 2 assists in 23 appearances.

Ferran Jutglà contributed 4 goals and 1 assist in 18 matches.

Williot Swedberg scored 3 goals and 1 assist in 19 games.

For Real Madrid, the top players this season are:

Vinicius Junior with 9 goals and 5 assists in 25 appearances, although he did not play in the last five games (0/5 games, 0 Min, 0 goals, 0 assists).

Arda Güler recorded 3 goals and 7 assists in 26 matches, also without playing in the last five games (0/5 games, 0 Min, 0 goals, 0 assists).

Federico Valverde contributed 1 goal and 7 assists in 25 games, also without playing in the last five games (0/5 games, 0 Min, 0 goals, 0 assists).

门将

Celta de Vigo's goalkeeper, Ionuț Radu, played 26 games this season and recorded 8 clean sheets.

For Real Madrid, Thibaut Courtois was between the posts in 26 matches and managed to keep a clean sheet in 11 games.

影响因素

Celta de Vigo plays at home and has scored an average of 1.36 home goals while conceding 1.07 goals.

The Estadio de Balaídos has seen an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches.

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 matches.

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