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La Liga

Espanyol - Real Oviedo

03/09/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Espanyol
1.9
Total xG
3.0
Real Oviedo
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
ESPRO

Espanyol

排名优势 (第7位 vs 第20位, 相差13位)
+0.11
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.09
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.09
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.02
Edu Expósito未进大名单 (1球, 6助攻)
Roberto Fernández替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
Pere Milla替补席 (6球, 0助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅79%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.6球 vs 总体1.3球)

Real Oviedo

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.91
排名劣势 (第20位 vs 第7位, 相差13位)
-0.18
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.07
状态上升 (1 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
+0.07
Ilyas Chaira替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Haissem Hassan替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅63%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

25%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

75%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Pipeline analysis: The mathematical prediction forecasts a home win for Espanyol with 52% probability
  • League standing: Espanyol is in 7th place, while Real Oviedo occupies the last position (20th)
  • Home strength vs. away weakness: Espanyol scores 1.23 goals at home, while Real Oviedo scores only 0.61 goals away
风险因素
  • Real Oviedo: Only 64% of the usual starting XI strength is available, as Ilyas Chaira (3 Goals/1 Assist) and Haissem Hassan (0 Goals/3 Assists) are missing
  • Espanyol's offensive efficiency: Espanyol averages only 2.8 shots on target per game
  • Espanyol's current form: The home team has not secured a win in their last five matches (LLDLD)
概述

Espanyol (7th place, 36 points) host Real Oviedo (20th place, 17 points) at the RCDE Stadium

La Liga match on March 9, 2026, 9:00 PM

Espanyol is the clear favorite in this encounter

近期状态

Espanyol's current form across all competitions is LLDLD (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)

Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Elche

Real Oviedo's form shows WLDLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)

They lost their last game 0-3 against Rayo Vallecano

Espanyol has a goal difference of 8:14 in their last five matches

Real Oviedo managed a goal difference of 4:9 in their last five matches

Espanyol is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals)

Real Oviedo is currently scoring more frequently (1.0 goals) than their season average (0.8 goals)

统计数据

Espanyol averages 1.23 goals scored at home per game and concedes 1.38 goals

Real Oviedo averages 0.61 goals scored away and concedes 1.61 goals

Espanyol kept 7 clean sheets this season, with 3 at home

Real Oviedo managed 6 clean sheets this season, but none away

Espanyol had both teams scoring (BTTS) in 15 matches and over 2.5 goals in 14 matches

Real Oviedo had 8 BTTS matches and 10 matches with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 5 direct encounters, Espanyol secured 3 wins and Real Oviedo 2 wins, with no draws

Espanyol scored a total of 6 goals, while Real Oviedo netted 4 goals

The last meeting saw Espanyol win 2-0 on October 17, 2025

Espanyol has been the more dominant team in recent head-to-head matches

关键球员

Carlos Romero is a key player for Espanyol with 5 season goals and 2 assists, his form is currently declining

Kike García contributes 5 goals and 1 assist to Espanyol's offense, his form is stable

Tyrhys Dolan has contributed 1 goal and 3 assists, his form is stable

Federico Viñas is Real Oviedo's top scorer with 5 season goals and 1 assist, his form is rising

Alberto Reina scored 2 season goals for Real Oviedo, his form is stable

Thiago Fernández provided 1 assist for Real Oviedo, his form is rising

For Espanyol, Edu Expósito (1 Goal/6 Assists), Roberto Fernández (5 Goals/2 Assists), Pere Milla (6 Goals/0 Assists) are not nominated

门将

Espanyol's goalkeeper Manuel Iori has achieved 3 clean sheets this season

Real Oviedo's goalkeeper Aarón Escandell has recorded no clean sheets in away games this season

Manuel Iori has an average season rating of 6.84

Aarón Escandell has an average season rating of 7.13

影响因素

The RCDE Stadium records an average of 2.4 total goals per game

In 2 out of 5 games at the RCDE Stadium, both teams scored

Also, in 2 out of 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored

Espanyol scores 1.23 goals at home and concedes 1.38 goals

Real Oviedo scores 0.61 goals away and concedes 1.61 goals

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