La Liga
Osasuna - Mallorca
03/07/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.4
0.7
1:0
14%2:0
13%1:1
12%0:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Osasuna
Mallorca
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
59%
平局
27%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
41%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- Form and Prediction: Osasuna's more stable form and the pipeline prediction (59% home win, 1.65 expected goals) favor the home team
- Home Strength Meets Away Weakness: Osasuna's strong home defense (Avg. 0.74 goals conceded) against Mallorca's vulnerable away defense (Avg. 2.78 goals conceded)
- Mallorca's Offensive Struggle: The away team's goal production is low on average this season (Avg. 1.21 goals) and even lower in recent form (Avg. 1.0 goals)
风险因素
- Mallorca concedes an average of 2.78 goals per away game
- Mallorca is missing players like Jan Virgili and Sergi Darder, accounting for 23% of the usual starting XI's assist strength
- Osasuna's playstyle is counter-attacking and generates few shots on target (Avg. 2.0 per game)
概述
Osasuna (10th place, 33 points) hosts Mallorca (18th place, 24 points) at Estadio El Sadar
La Liga match on March 7, 2026, 2:00 PM
Osasuna aims to consolidate its mid-table position, while Mallorca fights against relegation
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a probability of 59%
近期状态
Osasuna shows a form of DWDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In their last five games, they recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
The last match was a 0-1 loss against Valencia
Mallorca, on the other hand, has a form of WLLLL
They managed only 1 win in their last five games and lost 4 times, including four consecutive losses
The last match was a 0-1 loss against Real Sociedad
统计数据
Osasuna scores an average of 1.15 goals per game and concedes 1.15 goals
They kept 6 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 12 matches
At home, Osasuna averages 1.16 goals scored and concedes only 0.74 goals
Mallorca scores 1.12 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.62 goals
They kept 3 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 16 matches
Away from home, Mallorca concedes an average of 2.78 goals per game and scores 1.11 goals
At Estadio El Sadar, the last 5 games averaged 3.4 total goals per match
In 4 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were recorded
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for Osasuna, 1 win for Mallorca, and 3 draws
The goal difference is even at 7:7
The last encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on November 29, 2025
Recent matches show an even balance of power between the teams
关键球员
Ante Budimir (Attacker) is Osasuna's top scorer with 12 season goals
His form is stable with 2 goals and a rating of 7.21 in the last 3 games
Víctor Muñoz (Attacker) contributed 4 goals and 1 assist, his form is slightly declining
Rubén García (Attacker) has scored 2 goals and provided 5 assists, his form is stable
For Mallorca, Vedat Muriqi (Attacker) leads with 16 season goals and 1 assist
His form is rising with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 2 games
Samú Costa (Midfielder) has scored 4 season goals and also shows rising form
Mateo Joseph (Attacker) has contributed 2 goals and 2 assists, his form is stable
门将
Osasuna's goalkeeper Sergio Herrera has achieved 6 clean sheets this season
Mallorca's goalkeeper Leo Román has managed 3 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Osasuna benefits from home advantage, scoring an average of 1.16 goals at home and conceding only 0.74 goals
Estadio El Sadar is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals per match
In 80% of the last home games, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored