La Liga
Real Oviedo - Valencia
03/14/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
0.8
2.2
1.4
1:1
14%0:1
14%0:0
13%0:2
11%1:2
9%xG 分解
Real Oviedo
Valencia
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
21%
平局
31%
客胜
49%
进球数
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
51%
客胜或平局
79%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: Valencia has a win probability of 49%, while Real Oviedo is at just 21%
- Current form: Valencia showed better form in the last five games with 3 wins, while Real Oviedo remained winless
- Offensive strength: Real Oviedo averages only 0.62 goals at home, while Valencia scores 1.1 goals per away game
风险因素
- Valencia's defensive vulnerability away from home with an average of 2.6 goals conceded per game
- Valencia's limited offensive output, averaging only 2.8 shots on target
- Valencia's significant injury list, including J. Agirrezabala (Meniscus Tear), J. Arias Copete (Meniscus Tear), D. Foulquier (Knee Injury), M. Diakhaby (Muscle Injury), and L. Beltrán (Knee Problems)
概述
Real Oviedo (20th place, 18 points) host Valencia (12th place, 32 points) at the Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. La Liga match on March 14, 2026, 6:30 PM. Real Oviedo is fighting relegation, while Valencia is in the mid-table. The mathematical analysis predicts a clear favorite role for Valencia with a win probability of 49% compared to 21% for Real Oviedo
近期状态
Real Oviedo shows no wins in their last five games (LDLLD). The home side's record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Their last match ended in a draw. Valencia, on the other hand, has won three of their last five matches (LWLWW). The visitors have 3 wins and 2 losses and enter this encounter with two consecutive victories
统计数据
Real Oviedo averages 0.63 goals scored and 1.63 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 0.62 goals scored and 1.75 goals conceded. The team kept 6 clean sheets. Valencia scores an average of 1.11 goals and concedes 1.52 goals per game this season. Away from home, Valencia averages 1.1 goals scored and concedes an alarming 2.6 goals per away game. Valencia records 7 clean sheets. At Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, an average of 1.4 goals have been scored in the last 5 games. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 matches
历史交锋
There has been one head-to-head match between Real Oviedo and Valencia. Valencia won this game at home with a score of 2-1 on September 30, 2025. Valencia dominated the last home encounter
关键球员
For Real Oviedo, Federico Viñas (5 goals, 1 assist), Alberto Reina (3 goals), and Thiago Fernández (2 assists) are key offensive players. In Valencia's starting lineup, Umar Sadiq (1 goal, 1 assist), Largie Ramazani (4 goals, 1 assist), and Arnaut Danjuma (3 goals, 2 assists) are important. Real Oviedo's squad is missing Ilyas Chaira (3 goals, 1 assist) and Haissem Hassan (3 assists), who represent 76% of the usual starting XI's goal threat. For Valencia, Luis Rioja (2 goals, 4 assists) is not in the lineup, which corresponds to 90% of the usual starting XI's strength
门将
Real Oviedo's goalkeeper Aarón Escandell has kept 6 clean sheets this season. Valencia's goalkeeper Stole Dimitrievski achieved 7 clean sheets
影响因素
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere is a venue with an average of 1.4 goals per game. In 40% of the last 5 games, both teams scored, and in 20% there were over 2.5 goals. Real Oviedo scores an average of 0.62 goals at home and concedes 1.75 goals. Valencia, on the other hand, scores 1.1 goals away and concedes 2.6 goals per away game