La Liga
Real Madrid - Elche
03/14/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
2.6
3.4
0.7
2:0
12%3:0
10%2:1
9%3:1
8%1:1
8%xG 分解
Real Madrid
Elche
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
77%
平局
16%
客胜
7%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
双重机会
主胜或平局
93%
客胜或平局
23%
非平局
84%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a very high 77% probability for a home win
- Form: Real Madrid is in better form with 3 wins from their last 5 games compared to Elche with no wins
- Home strength vs. away weakness: Real Madrid scores 2.07 goals at home and concedes only 0.64, while Elche concedes 2.6 goals away
风险因素
- Limited starting XI strength for Real Madrid: Only 65% of usual goal threat available (without Arda Güler, Gonzalo García, Álvaro Carreras, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Raúl Asencio)
- Fatigue: Real Madrid had only 3 days rest since their last match
- Elche's defensive vulnerability away: The team concedes an average of 2.6 goals per away game
概述
Real Madrid (2nd place, 63 points) host Elche (17th place, 26 points) at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
La Liga match on March 14, 2026, 9:00 PM
The Whites aim for a victory to close the gap on league leaders FC Barcelona (67 points)
近期状态
Real Madrid shows mixed form with a record of LWLWW in their last five matches
This equates to 3 wins and 2 losses
Elche is in a difficult phase with LDLDL in their last five games
This corresponds to 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Real Madrid averaged 2.07 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded per game this season
At home, they are particularly strong with an average of 2.07 goals scored and only 0.64 goals conceded per home game
They kept 11 clean sheets, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 16 matches
Elche averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.52 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Elche is defensively vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per away game and recording 0 clean sheets
At the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, an average of 3.0 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and 4 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Real Madrid dominated with 3 wins and 2 draws
Elche failed to win any of these matches
Real Madrid scored a total of 13 goals, while Elche conceded 5 goals
The last meeting on November 23, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw
关键球员
Real Madrid: Vinicius Junior (9 goals, 5 assists, avg. 7.29) is a key offensive player
Federico Valverde (2 goals, 7 assists, avg. 7.28) is important in midfield
Dean Huijsen (1 goal, 2 assists, avg. 7.07) contributes to defense and build-up play
Elche: André Silva (7 goals, 0 assists, avg. 6.89) is the most dangerous goal scorer
Germán Valera (4 goals, 3 assists, avg. 7.02) is also an important offensive player
Martim Neto (2 goals, 5 assists, avg. 6.81) provides assists from midfield
门将
Thibaut Courtois of Real Madrid has 11 clean sheets this season and an average rating of 6.84
Matías Dituro of Elche recorded 6 clean sheets with an average rating of 7.23
影响因素
The Estadio Santiago Bernabéu is a high-scoring venue with an average of 3.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and 4 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
Real Madrid shows strong home performance with an average of 2.07 goals scored and 0.64 goals conceded
Elche is significantly weaker away with 1.3 goals scored and 2.6 goals conceded