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La Liga

Mallorca - Espanyol

03/15/2026, 01:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Mallorca
1.4
Total xG
3.0
Espanyol
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
MALESP

Mallorca

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.19
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.19
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第7位, 相差11位)
-0.17
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.07
Sergi Darder替补席 (1球, 4助攻)
Jan Virgili未进大名单 (0球, 5助攻)

Espanyol

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.26倍)
+0.61
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.09
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.09
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第18位, 相差11位)
+0.08
Pere Milla替补席 (6球, 0助攻)
Pol Lozano替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅93%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

27%

客胜

41%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

59%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: Espanyol has a higher win probability of 41% compared to Mallorca (32%)
  • Form trend: Espanyol shows positive offensive development (currently 1.6 goals on average), while Mallorca's goal production is stagnant (0.6 goals)
  • Home advantage: Mallorca's home strength (Ø 1.0 goal conceded per home game) could make a difference despite overall form
风险因素
  • Mallorca's offense is struggling: Only 0.6 goals on average in the recent form period (advancedStats description)
  • Mallorca averages only 2.4 shots on target (few attempts)
  • Espanyol's defense is vulnerable: Ø 2.6 goals conceded in recent games (advancedStats.away.recentGoalsConcededAvg)
概述

Mallorca (18th place, 25 points) host Espanyol (7th place, 37 points) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix

La Liga match on March 15, 2026, 2:00 PM

The hosts are fighting against relegation, while the guests are competing for a European spot

近期状态

Mallorca shows poor form with LLLLD in their last five games (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses

Their last match was a 2-2 away draw against Osasuna

Espanyol has a form of LDLDD

They have 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games

Their last encounter ended in a 1-1 home draw against Real Oviedo

统计数据

Mallorca has scored an average of 1.15 goals per game this season and conceded 1.63 goals

At home, they score 1.12 goals and concede 1.0 goal per home game

Espanyol has scored an average of 1.26 goals and conceded 1.48 goals

Away from home, they score 1.31 goals and concede 1.62 goals

At Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, the last 5 games averaged 3.4 goals per match

Both teams scored in 80% of these games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80%

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 1, Espanyol won 3, and 1 ended in a draw

The goal difference is 7:9 in favor of Espanyol

The last meeting on September 15, 2025, ended with a 3-2 victory for Espanyol

Espanyol has dominated recent encounters

关键球员

For Mallorca, Vedat Muriqi is the top scorer with 18 season goals and 1 assist, although his form is currently declining

Samú Costa contributes to midfield strength with 4 season goals and an average rating of 6.82

Mateo Joseph has scored 2 goals and provided 2 assists this season and shows stable form

For Espanyol, Kike García is the most dangerous attacker with 6 goals and 1 assist and shows a rising form trend

Edu Expósito is an important playmaker with 6 assists and a rating of 7.12

Carlos Romero has contributed 5 season goals and 2 assists as a defender

门将

Mallorca's goalkeeper Leo Román has made 22 appearances this season and kept 2 clean sheets for his team

Espanyol's goalkeeper Manuel Iori has recorded 7 clean sheets in 27 games

影响因素

Mallorca has a home advantage, as they score an average of 1.12 goals and concede only 1.0 goal at home

Estadi Mallorca Son Moix is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals per match in the last five encounters

Both teams scored in 80% of these games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80%

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