La Liga
Rayo Vallecano - Levante
03/16/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
2.5
0.7
2:0
14%1:1
11%2:1
9%3:0
9%3:1
6%xG 分解
Rayo Vallecano
Levante
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
65%
平局
24%
客胜
11%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
89%
客胜或平局
35%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Favorites: Mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 65% for Rayo Vallecano
- Form trend: Rayo Vallecano shows a positive form development, while Levante's goal production is faltering (0.6 goals/game)
- Home strength Rayo Vallecano: Rayo Vallecano is significantly more dangerous at home (1.0 goals per home game) and has a stronger defense (0.67 goals conceded per home game) compared to Levante's away weakness
风险因素
- Tight schedule: Rayo Vallecano had only 4 days of rest since their last match
- Limited starting XI strength: Rayo Vallecano is missing Álvaro García (4G/4A), Isi Palazón (3G/3A), Andrei Rațiu (0G/3A), resulting in only 70% of usual goal threat being available
- Low goal threat: Levante averages only 3.2 shots on target per game
概述
Rayo Vallecano (14th place, 31 points) host Levante (19th place, 22 points) at the Estadio de Vallecas
La Liga match on March 16, 2026, 9:00 PM
Rayo Vallecano aims to move away from the relegation zone, while Levante desperately needs points in the fight against relegation
近期状态
Rayo Vallecano is in a positive run of form with a DDWDW record in their last five games (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
Their last victory was a 3-1 away win against Samsunspor
Levante shows weaker form with LLLWD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Their last game ended in a 1-1 away draw against Girona
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Rayo Vallecano scores an average of 1.0 goals per game and concedes 1.22 goals
At home, Rayo Vallecano is defensively stronger, conceding an average of 0.67 goals
Levante scores an average of 1.07 goals and concedes 1.67 goals per game
Away from home, Levante concedes an average of 1.5 goals
Both teams scored in 12 out of 27 Rayo Vallecano matches and in 13 out of 27 Levante matches
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 11 Rayo games and 12 Levante games
历史交锋
The last five head-to-head matches show an even record
Rayo Vallecano and Levante each won 2 games, with 1 match ending in a draw
Overall, Rayo Vallecano scored 9 goals, Levante 10 goals
The last encounter was won by Rayo Vallecano 3-0 away on October 19, 2025
关键球员
For Rayo Vallecano, Jorge de Frutos is the top scorer of the season with 10 goals and 1 assist, holding an average rating of 6.95
Fran Pérez contributed 2 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 6.64
Nobel Mendy scored 2 seasonal goals and has an average rating of 6.86
For Levante, Iván Romero is the most successful attacker of the season with 4 goals and 1 assist (6.85 rating)
Carlos Espí also scored 4 times this season (6.73 rating)
Jeremy Toljan stands out as a defender with 1 goal and 3 assists and has a rating of 6.63
门将
Rayo Vallecano's goalkeeper, Augusto Batalla, has kept 8 clean sheets this season
Mathew Ryan, Levante's goalkeeper, has kept 5 clean sheets
影响因素
Rayo Vallecano's Estadio de Vallecas is known for high-scoring games
The last five games at the stadium averaged 2.8 total goals
In 4 out of 5 of these matches, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 games
Rayo Vallecano shows a strong defense at home, conceding an average of only 0.67 goals per home game
The pitch surface is natural grass