La Liga
Real Sociedad - Osasuna
03/15/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.6
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Real Sociedad
Osasuna
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
29%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Real Sociedad's home advantage: Strong home offense (1.5 goals/game) against Osasuna's weak away defense (2.29 goals conceded/game)
- Form trend: Real Sociedad with stable form, Osasuna shows a negative trend in goal production
- Pipeline favoritism: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 46% probability
风险因素
- Osasuna's away weakness: Concedes an average of 2.29 goals per away game
- Osasuna's low efficiency: Only 2.0 shots on target per game
概述
Real Sociedad (8th place, 35 points) host Osasuna (11th place, 34 points) at the Anoeta Stadium. La Liga match on March 15, 2026, 8:00 PM. This is a mid-table clash where Real Sociedad are slight favorites. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 46% probability and 1.54 expected home goals
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Real Sociedad's form in the last 5 games is LDWWL with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
The current form shows a stable trend
Osasuna's form in the last 5 games is WDWLD with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Osasuna's goal production is stagnant with a negative form trend
统计数据
Real Sociedad scores an average of 1.48 goals and concedes 1.52 goals per game this season
At home, Real Sociedad averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded
Both teams scored in 22 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 16 games
Osasuna scores an average of 1.19 goals and concedes 1.19 goals per game this season
Away from home, Osasuna averages 1.14 goals scored and concedes an alarming 2.29 goals
Both teams scored in 13 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 12 games
历史交锋
The last 5 head-to-head matches show an even record with 2 wins for Real Sociedad, 2 wins for Osasuna, and 1 draw
Real Sociedad scored 8 goals, Osasuna 7 goals
The last encounter on January 13, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw
关键球员
Real Sociedad can count on Mikel Oyarzabal with 11 goals and 3 assists
Gonçalo Guedes contributed 6 goals and 4 assists
Brais Méndez showed up with 5 goals and 2 assists, but his form trend is declining
Osasuna's offense is led by Ante Budimir with 13 season goals
Víctor Muñoz has scored 4 goals and 2 assists, his form trend is declining
Alejandro Catena showed a rising form trend with 2 goals and 2 assists
门将
Real Sociedad's goalkeeper Álex Remiro kept 2 clean sheets this season
Osasuna's goalkeeper Sergio Herrera recorded 6 clean sheets this season and showed a rising form trend
影响因素
Anoeta Stadium is known for high-scoring games with an average of 3.6 goals per match
In 80% of the last 5 games at Anoeta, both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were scored
Real Sociedad are offensive at home with an average of 1.5 goals scored and defensively stable with 1.25 goals conceded
Osasuna concedes an average of 2.29 goals per away game