La Liga
Elche - Mallorca
03/21/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
3.5
1.5
1:1
10%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Elche
Mallorca
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
24%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
46%
Under 3.5
54%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
68%
否
32%
关键因素
- Mathematical prediction: Elche has a 46% win probability and higher expected goals at 1.94 compared to Mallorca's 1.53
- Vulnerable away defense: Mallorca concedes an average of 2.7 goals per away game
- High-scoring home games: Elche's home matches average 3.2 goals per game and have an 80% BTTS rate
风险因素
- Elche's poor form: Elche has 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 games and shows a negative form trend
- Mallorca's high away goals conceded: Mallorca concedes an average of 2.7 goals per away game
- Mallorca's stagnating goal production: Mallorca's recent goal production is 1.0, below their season average of 1.3
概述
Elche (18th place, 26 points) host Mallorca (16th place, 28 points) at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. The La Liga match is on March 21, 2026, 2:00 PM. This is a crucial relegation battle for both teams to secure their league status
近期状态
Elche shows poor form with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 games. The form trend is negative, with two consecutive losses
Mallorca records 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches. The team managed to win their last game after a winless streak
统计数据
Elche averages 1.29 goals per game and concedes 1.61 goals. At home, their defense is stronger, conceding only 0.88 goals per home game
Mallorca averages 1.18 goals and concedes 1.61 goals. Away from home, Mallorca concedes significantly more, with 2.7 goals per game
Elche's home matches have seen an average of 3.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 80%
历史交锋
In 5 direct encounters, Elche secured 2 wins, Mallorca 1 win, and there were 2 draws. Elche scored 8 goals, Mallorca 6 goals
The last encounter was won by Mallorca on December 13, 2025, with a 3-1 scoreline
关键球员
André Silva scored 7 season goals in 22 appearances and shows stable form
Rafa Mir also scored 7 goals in 23 games, though his form is slightly declining
Germán Valera contributed 4 goals and 3 assists in 27 games and shows rising form
Not in lineup: Álvaro Rodríguez (5 goals/4 assists)
For Mallorca, Vedat Muriqi is the top scorer with 18 season goals and 1 assist in 27 appearances
Samú Costa scored 5 goals in 25 games
Sergi Darder contributed 1 goal and 4 assists in 28 games
Not in lineup: Jan Virgili (0 goals/5 assists), Johan Mojica (0 goals/3 assists)
门将
Elche's goalkeeper Matías Dituro has kept 6 clean sheets in 12 appearances with an average rating of 7.13
Mallorca's goalkeeper Leo Román played in 23 matches and recorded 3 clean sheets with an average rating of 6.83
影响因素
Elche benefits from a home advantage, conceding only 0.88 goals per game at home
The Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero is known for high-scoring games, averaging 3.2 goals per match
Mallorca's away defense is very vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.7 goals per game