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La Liga

Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés

03/22/2026, 03:15 PM

3 : 4
预期进球
Celta de Vigo
1.5
Total xG
2.3
Deportivo Alavés
0.8
最可能的比分

1:0

14%

1:1

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

12%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
CDVDA

Celta de Vigo

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.45
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第17位, 相差11位)
+0.08
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.05
Williot Swedberg替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Sergio Carreira替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

Deportivo Alavés

排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第6位, 相差11位)
-0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.02
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

29%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

71%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a high probability of 54% for a home win for Celta de Vigo
  • Form and Table Position: Celta de Vigo is in 6th place with 41 points, while Deportivo Alavés is in 17th place with 28 points and shows weaker form (DDLLD)
  • Home Strength vs. Away Weakness: Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.33 goals at home, while Deportivo Alavés concedes an average of 2.2 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Limited preparation time: Celta de Vigo had only 3 days since their last match
  • Away weakness: Deportivo Alavés concedes an average of 2.2 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
  • Celta de Vigo's goal production is stagnant (1.4), season average is 1.6
概述

Celta de Vigo (6th place, 41 points) host Deportivo Alavés (17th place, 28 points) at the Estadio de Balaídos

La Liga match on March 22, 2026, 4:15 PM

Celta de Vigo aims to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table, while Deportivo Alavés seeks to move away from the relegation zone

近期状态

Celta de Vigo's form in their last five matches is WLDDW

This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a win as the last result

Deportivo Alavés' form in their last five matches is DDLLD

This means 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a draw as the last result

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.36 goals per game and concedes 1.11 goals per game

They also kept 8 clean sheets

Deportivo Alavés scores an average of 0.93 goals per game and concedes 1.36 goals per game

They managed to keep 3 clean sheets

In home games, Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes 1.13 goals

Deportivo Alavés concedes an average of 2.2 goals per away game

At the Estadio de Balaídos, the last 5 games averaged 2.2 total goals per match, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo secured 2 wins, Deportivo Alavés had 1 win, and there were 2 draws

Celta de Vigo scored a total of 5 goals in these matches, while Deportivo Alavés scored 6 goals

The last encounter on November 22, 2025, ended in a 1-0 victory for Celta de Vigo

关键球员

For Celta de Vigo, Borja Iglesias is an important attacker with 11 goals and 2 assists this season

Ferran Jutglà contributed 5 goals and 1 assist

Defender Óscar Mingueza showed offensive strength with 1 goal and 4 assists

For Deportivo Alavés, Lucas Boyé stands out with 9 goals and 1 assist this season

Toni Martínez scored 5 goals and provided 2 assists

Carles Aleñá delivered 4 assists in the current season

门将

Celta de Vigo's goalkeeper, Ionuț Radu, has recorded 8 clean sheets this season

Antonio Sivera, Deportivo Alavés' goalkeeper, achieved 3 clean sheets

影响因素

Celta de Vigo has scored 20 goals and conceded 17 goals in home games this season

Deportivo Alavés has scored 9 goals and conceded 22 goals in away games

The Estadio de Balaídos has an average of 2.2 total goals per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games

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