La Liga
FC Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano
03/22/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
2.7
3.7
1.0
2:1
9%3:0
8%3:1
8%4:0
6%4:1
6%xG 分解
FC Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
73%
平局
17%
客胜
10%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
双重机会
主胜或平局
90%
客胜或平局
27%
非平局
83%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 73% probability
- FC Barcelona is clearly favored as table leader with an outstanding home record (2.71 goals/game, 0.47 goals conceded/game)
- Rayo Vallecano showed weaker performance in recent head-to-head matches and is historically inferior to FC Barcelona
风险因素
- Rayo Vallecano has only 3 days rest since their last match
- Rayo Vallecano concedes an average of 1.92 goals per away game, indicating a defensive weakness
概述
FC Barcelona (1st place, 70 points) host Rayo Vallecano (14th place, 32 points) at Camp Nou. La Liga match on March 22, 2026, 2:00 PM. Barcelona leads the table and aims to extend their lead over Real Madrid. Rayo Vallecano is fighting to catch up with the mid-table
近期状态
The home team, FC Barcelona, is in excellent form with a record of WWDWW. This means 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five matches. Rayo Vallecano has a form of WDWDL, which includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games. Rayo Vallecano's last appearance resulted in a loss. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
FC Barcelona scores an average of 2.75 goals per game this season and concedes an average of 1 goal. Currently, the team scores 3.4 goals, more frequently than their season average of 2.7. At home, they are particularly strong with 2.71 goals scored and only 0.47 goals conceded per game. Rayo Vallecano scores an average of 1 goal per game and concedes 1.21 goals. Away from home, Rayo Vallecano concedes an average of 1.92 goals. At Camp Nou, the last five games have seen an average of 5.4 total goals per match. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and all 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Barcelona dominated with 3 wins compared to 0 wins for Rayo Vallecano. There were 2 draws. The goal difference in these matches is 8:3 in favor of FC Barcelona. The last encounter on August 31, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw. The historical record clearly favors the home team
关键球员
For FC Barcelona, Lamine Yamal with 14 season goals and 9 assists, Raphinha with 11 goals and 3 assists, and Robert Lewandowski with 11 goals and 1 assist are crucial. Rayo Vallecano relies on Jorge de Frutos with 10 goals and 1 assist, whose form trend is declining. Additionally, Álvaro García with 4 goals and 4 assists and Isi Palazón with 3 goals and 3 assists are important attacking players
门将
Joan García, FC Barcelona's goalkeeper, has recorded 11 clean sheets this season. For Rayo Vallecano, goalkeeper Augusto Batalla has kept 8 clean sheets
影响因素
Camp Nou is a fortress for FC Barcelona; the home team scores an average of 2.71 goals and concedes only 0.47 goals per home game. Statistics from the last five matches at the stadium show an average of 5.4 total goals per match, with over 2.5 goals in all five games and both teams scoring in 3 of 5 games. The grass pitch provides standard conditions