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La Liga

Atlético Madrid - FC Barcelona

04/04/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Atlético Madrid
1.9
Total xG
3.6
FC Barcelona
1.7
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

7%

3:1

5%

3:2

5%
xG 分解
AMFB

Atlético Madrid

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.35倍)
+0.53
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.16
状态上升 (2.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
+0.16
Julián Alvarez替补席 (8球, 4助攻)
Marcos Llorente未进大名单 (0球, 4助攻)
Matteo Ruggeri替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Ademola Lookman替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Dávid Hancko替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

FC Barcelona

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.72倍)
+0.65
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均3球)
+0.10
Raphinha未进大名单 (11球, 3助攻)
Robert Lewandowski替补席 (11球, 1助攻)
Marc Bernal替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

24%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

88%

Under 1.5

12%

Over 2.5

69%

Under 2.5

31%

Over 3.5

48%

Under 3.5

52%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

76%

双方进球

70%

30%

关键因素
  • The mathematical model predicts a home win for Atlético Madrid with 43%, but also indicates a high-scoring game with 69% for Over 2.5 goals and 70% for Both Teams to Score
  • FC Barcelona has won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atlético Madrid, including a clear 3:0 victory in their most recent encounter
  • Atlético Madrid's offense shows a positive trend, scoring an average of 2.6 goals in recent matches, which is higher than their season average of 2.1 goals
概述

Atlético Madrid (4th place, 57 points) host FC Barcelona (1st place, 73 points) at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The La Liga match will take place on April 4, 2026, 9:00 PM. Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the league title race and Champions League qualification.

近期状态

Atlético Madrid's form in the last five matches is WWWLL with 3 wins and 2 losses. The last match resulted in a loss, and they have two consecutive losses. FC Barcelona shows a form of WDWWW with 4 wins and 1 draw. The last match was a win, and the team is on a streak of three consecutive wins. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Atlético Madrid scores an average of 1.69 goals per game and concedes 0.97 goals per game this season. They kept 12 clean sheets. In 14 matches, both teams scored, and 13 matches ended with over 2.5 goals. At home, they average 1.7 goals scored and concede 0.6 goals. FC Barcelona is stronger offensively, scoring an average of 2.69 goals per game and also conceding 0.97 goals. They kept 12 clean sheets. In 17 matches, both teams scored, and 23 matches ended with over 2.5 goals. Away from home, Barcelona scores an average of 2.58 goals and concedes 1.67 goals. At the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, the last 5 matches saw an average of 4.0 goals per game, and in 4 out of 5 matches both teams scored. 3 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

In the previous 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams, Atlético Madrid secured 1 win, while FC Barcelona celebrated 4 victories. There were no draws. The goal difference stands at 7:11 in favor of FC Barcelona. The last encounter on March 3, 2026, was won by FC Barcelona with a 3:0 scoreline. FC Barcelona has dominated recent meetings.

关键球员

For Atlético Madrid, Antoine Griezmann with 6 goals and 1 assist this season (most recently 1 goal, 2 assists in 5 games) and an average rating of 7.18, Giuliano Simeone with 3 goals and 6 assists (most recently 0 goals, 1 assist in 5 games) and a rating of 7.07, as well as Nahuel Molina, who recently scored 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games and shows a rising form trend, are key players. Not nominated are Julián Alvarez (8G/4A), Marcos Llorente (0G/4A), Matteo Ruggeri (0G/3A), Ademola Lookman (2G/0A), and Dávid Hancko (0G/2A). For FC Barcelona, Lamine Yamal stands out with 14 goals and 9 assists this season (most recently 1 goal, 1 assist in 5 games), Fermín López with 5 goals and 8 assists (most recently 1 goal, 3 assists in 5 games), and Dani Olmo with 7 goals and 6 assists (most recently 1 goal, 0 assists in 5 games). Ronald Araujo showed 1 goal, 0 assists in the last 5 games and a rising form trend. Not nominated are Raphinha (11G/3A), Robert Lewandowski (11G/1A), and Marc Bernal (2G/1A).

门将

Atlético Madrid's goalkeeper Juan Musso has 3 season appearances and an average rating of 7.15. The team achieved 12 clean sheets this season. For FC Barcelona, Joan García is in goal, with 23 season appearances and an average rating of 7.17. The visitors also recorded 12 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

The Riyadh Air Metropolitano is known for generally high-scoring matches with an average of 4.0 goals per game and 80% of matches seeing both teams score. Atlético Madrid shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.7 goals scored and only 0.6 goals conceded. FC Barcelona, on the other hand, is strong offensively away from home, scoring an average of 2.58 goals but also conceding 1.67 goals.

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