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La Liga

Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna

04/05/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Deportivo Alavés
1.5
Total xG
2.6
Osasuna
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
DAOSA

Deportivo Alavés

防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.24
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.13
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.13
Lucas Boyé替补席 (9球, 1助攻)
Carles Aleñá替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
44%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)

Osasuna

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.12
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.12
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.05
Víctor Muñoz替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅94%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

29%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

71%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a higher win probability of 44% for Deportivo Alavés
  • Deportivo Alavés shows a positive development in goal production, currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.4)
  • Osasuna was more dominant in the last 5 direct encounters, winning 3 matches
风险因素
  • Deportivo Alavés has only 63% of their usual starting XI's goal threat available, as Lucas Boyé (9G/1A) and Carles Aleñá (0G/4A) are not in the lineup
  • Osasuna concedes an average of 2.38 goals per away game
  • Osasuna's goal production recently stands at 1.2 goals, which is lower than their season average of 1.6 goals
概述

Deportivo Alavés (15th place, 31 points) host Osasuna (11th place, 37 points) at Estadio de Mendizorroza

La Liga match on April 5, 2026, 9:00 PM

Alavés is fighting for survival, while Osasuna aims for a mid-table finish

近期状态

Deportivo Alavés has shown a form of DLLDW in their last five games (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Alavés recently secured a 4-3 victory against Celta de Vigo

Osasuna has a form of WLDLW in their last five matches

This means 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Osasuna won their last game 1-0 against Girona

统计数据

Deportivo Alavés scores an average of 1.03 goals per game and concedes 1.41 goals

Osasuna scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 1.21 goals per match

Alavés has achieved 3 clean sheets this season, Osasuna 7

Alavés scores an average of 1.06 goals at home and concedes 1.00 goal

Osasuna concedes an average of 2.38 goals per away game

The Estadio de Mendizorroza has seen an average of 3.2 total goals in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games at the stadium, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, there were 0 wins for Alavés and 3 wins for Osasuna, with 2 draws

The goal difference of 3:9 clearly favors Osasuna

Osasuna won the last encounter 3-0 on December 20, 2025

Osasuna has been more dominant in recent direct duels

关键球员

For Deportivo Alavés, Toni Martínez is a key attacking force with 7 season goals and 3 assists

Victor Parada has provided 3 season assists, and Antonio Blanco contributed 1 goal and 1 assist

Toni Martínez shows a rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

For Osasuna, Ante Budimir is the top scorer with 14 season goals

Rubén García has scored 2 goals and provided 5 assists

Aimar Oroz recorded 2 season assists and shows a rising form in the last 5 games

门将

In goal for Deportivo Alavés is Antonio Sivera, who has recorded 3 clean sheets this season

Osasuna's goalkeeper Sergio Herrera achieved 7 clean sheets in 29 season games

影响因素

Home team Deportivo Alavés scores an average of 1.06 goals and concedes 1.00 goal at Estadio de Mendizorroza

Osasuna concedes an average of 2.38 goals per away game

The history at Estadio de Mendizorroza shows an average of 3.2 total goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of matches at the stadium, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60%

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