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La Liga

Rayo Vallecano - Elche

04/03/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Rayo Vallecano
2.0
Total xG
2.9
Elche
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
RVELC

Rayo Vallecano

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.15
Fran Pérez未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Pathé Ciss未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)

Elche

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.45
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
André Silva替补席 (7球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.5球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

60%

平局

24%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

40%

非平局

76%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Rayo Vallecano with a probability of 60%
  • Rayo Vallecano shows a solid home defense with an average of 0.65 goals conceded, while Elche concedes an average of 2.73 goals away from home
  • Elche scores consistently, averaging 1.4 goals per game
风险因素
  • Elche concedes an average of 2.73 goals per away game
  • Rayo Vallecano's goal production has recently declined, averaging 1.0 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.5 goals
  • In the last head-to-head encounter, Elche won 4-0, indicating historical dominance
概述

Rayo Vallecano (14th place, 32 points) host Elche (17th place, 29 points) at Estadio de Vallecas

La Liga match on April 3, 2026, 9:00 PM

This is an important encounter in the lower half of the league table

近期状态

The home team Rayo Vallecano shows a form of "DWDLL" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in the last five matches

This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

The last result was a loss

The away team Elche has a form of "LDLLW"

This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last five games

The last result was a win

统计数据

Rayo Vallecano averages 0.97 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded per game this season

At home, they scored 0.94 goals and conceded 0.65 goals

Elche has a season average of 1.31 goals scored and 1.59 goals conceded per game

Away from home, they scored 1.27 goals and conceded 2.73 goals

Rayo Vallecano kept 8 clean sheets this season, Elche managed 6

For Elche, both teams scored in 21 games (BTTS), for Rayo Vallecano in 13 games

At Estadio de Vallecas, an average of 2.4 goals per game were scored

In 3 out of 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 2 out of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

There has been a total of 1 head-to-head match between Rayo Vallecano and Elche

Elche won the last encounter 4-0 on December 21, 2025

The historical record shows 1 away win for Elche

Rayo Vallecano scored 0 goals and Elche scored 4 goals in direct duels

Elche has been the dominant team recently

关键球员

Key players for Rayo Vallecano include:

Jorge de Frutos, Attacker: 10 goals and 1 assist this season, with declining form recently

Álvaro García, Attacker: 4 goals and 4 assists this season, with stable form recently

Isi Palazón, Attacker: 3 goals and 3 assists this season, with stable form recently

Not nominated: Fran Pérez (2G/1A), Pathé Ciss (2G/0A)

For Elche, the following players are notable:

Rafa Mir, Attacker: 8 goals this season, with stable form recently

Álvaro Rodríguez, Attacker: 5 goals and 4 assists this season, with declining form recently

Germán Valera, Attacker: 4 goals and 4 assists this season, with stable form recently

Not nominated: André Silva (7G/0A)

门将

Rayo Vallecano's goalkeeper, Augusto Batalla, has achieved 8 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 6.88

For Elche, Matías Dituro is the goalkeeper, who recorded 6 clean sheets this season with a rating of 7.10

影响因素

Rayo Vallecano averages 0.94 goals scored and 0.65 goals conceded at home

Elche's away record shows 1.27 goals in attack and 2.73 goals conceded in defense

At Estadio de Vallecas, an average of 2.4 goals per game were scored

The playing surface is grass

The dataset does not contain weather data for this match

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