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La Liga

Real Betis - Espanyol

04/04/2026, 04:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Real Betis
1.9
Total xG
2.9
Espanyol
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
RBESP

Real Betis

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.18
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第11位, 相差6位)
+0.06
Abde Ezzalzouli替补席 (5球, 5助攻)
Marc Roca替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

Espanyol

防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.41
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第5位, 相差6位)
-0.06
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.04
Kike García替补席 (6球, 1助攻)
Ramón Terrats替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

25%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

75%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Real Betis is considered a clear favorite by the mathematical analysis with a home win probability of 58% and an expected goals ratio of 1.89 to 0.97
  • Real Betis' home advantage with a strong home defense (only 0.94 goals conceded on average) meets Espanyol's weak away form
  • The head-to-head record clearly favors Real Betis with 3 wins from 3 duels and a goal difference of 5:2
风险因素
  • Real Betis' goal production is currently stagnating at an average of 1.2 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.8 goals
  • Espanyol conceded an average of 2.2 goals in recent games, which is significantly above their season average of 1.53
概述

Real Betis (5th place, 44 points) host Espanyol (11th place, 37 points) at the Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla. The La Liga match takes place on April 4, 2026, 6:30 PM. Real Betis are pushing for European spots, while Espanyol are trying to stabilize in the mid-table.

近期状态

Real Betis' last five games show a form of LLDWL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their most recent result was a loss. Espanyol's form is LDDLL (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses) with two consecutive losses at the end. Real Betis' goal production is currently stagnating at an average of 1.2 goals, while the season average is 1.8 goals. Espanyol is currently scoring more frequently (1.4 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals).

统计数据

Real Betis scores an average of 1.52 goals and concedes 1.28 goals per game this season. At home, they are defensively stronger, conceding an average of 0.94 goals. Espanyol scores an average of 1.24 goals and concedes 1.52 goals per game. Their away average is 1.53 goals conceded per game. The Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla sees an average of 3.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 4 of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 matches.

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, Real Betis won all 3 games. Espanyol did not win any of the duels, and there were no draws. The goal difference is 5:2 in favor of Real Betis. The last encounter was won by Real Betis 2-1 on October 5, 2025.

关键球员

Real Betis will rely on Cucho Hernández (8 goals, 3 assists this season, 1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games), Antony (7 goals, 5 assists this season, 1 goal in last 5 games), and Pablo Fornals (7 goals, 4 assists this season, 1 goal in last 5 games). Not nominated for the starting XI are Abde Ezzalzouli (5G/5A) and Marc Roca (0G/2A).

For Espanyol, Roberto Fernández (6 goals, 2 assists this season, 1 goal in last 5 games), Carlos Romero (5 goals, 2 assists this season, 1 goal in last 5 games), and Edu Expósito (1 goal, 6 assists this season, 1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games) are key players. Not nominated for the starting XI are Kike García (6G/1A) and Ramón Terrats (1G/1A).

门将

For Real Betis, Álvaro Valles is in goal with 20 season appearances and an average rating of 6.9. The team recorded 8 clean sheets. For Espanyol, Manuel Iori is the goalkeeper with 29 season appearances and an average rating of 6.91. Espanyol achieved 7 clean sheets.

影响因素

Real Betis benefits from home advantage, scoring an average of 1.53 goals at home and conceding only 0.94. The Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla tends to favor high-scoring matches with an average of 3.2 goals per game and a high probability for both teams to score (4 out of 5 matches). Espanyol scores an average of 1.20 goals away and concedes 1.53 goals.

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