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La Liga

Valencia - Celta de Vigo

04/05/2026, 02:15 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Valencia
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Celta de Vigo
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

0:1

9%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
VALCDV

Valencia

排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第6位, 相差7位)
-0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.02
Filip Ugrinic替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Umar Sadiq替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Celta de Vigo

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.09
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第13位, 相差7位)
+0.04
Borja Iglesias替补席 (11球, 2助攻)
Williot Swedberg替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅93%可用)
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

31%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

69%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: Celta de Vigo is slightly favored with a 36% win probability, while Valencia is at 33%
  • Head-to-Head Record: Celta de Vigo historically has the upper hand with 3 wins in the last 5 encounters, including a recent 4:1 victory
  • Offensive Efficiency: Celta de Vigo averages 4.6 shots on target per game in their last 5 matches, compared to Valencia's 3.6
概述

Valencia (13th place, 35 points) host Celta de Vigo (6th place, 41 points) at the Estadio de Mestalla for their La Liga match on April 5, 2026, 4:15 PM

Celta de Vigo is fighting for a European spot, while Valencia is in the mid-table

近期状态

Valencia's form across all competitions is LWWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This means 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last match result was a win

Celta de Vigo shows a form of LDDWL

This indicates 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games

Their last match result was a loss

统计数据

Valencia averages 1.1 goals scored per game and concedes 1.45 goals per game

At home, Valencia scores an average of 1.12 goals and concedes 0.88 goals per home game

Celta de Vigo averages 1.41 goals scored per game and concedes 1.21 goals per game

Away from home, Celta de Vigo scores an average of 1.38 goals and concedes 1.08 goals per away game

Both teams scored in 15 of Valencia's 29 games and in 19 of Celta de Vigo's 29 games

At Estadio de Mestalla, the last 5 games averaged 3.2 goals per game

In 3 out of 5 of these games, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1, Celta de Vigo won 3, and there was 1 draw

Celta de Vigo has been the recently dominant team in direct encounters

The goal difference in these 5 games is 7:13 in favor of Celta de Vigo

The last meeting on January 3, 2026, ended with a 4:1 victory for Celta de Vigo

关键球员

For Valencia, Hugo Duro is a key player with 9 season goals, and Luis Rioja with 5 season assists

Largie Ramazani shows rising form with 3 goals in his last 5 games

For Celta de Vigo, Ferran Jutglà is in rising form with 7 season goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games

Óscar Mingueza provided 4 season assists and 2 assists in the last 5 matches

Hugo Álvarez contributed 3 season goals

门将

Valencia's goalkeeper, Stole Dimitrievski, has made 11 appearances this season and kept 4 clean sheets at home

Celta de Vigo's goalkeeper, Ionuț Radu, has made 29 appearances and kept 5 clean sheets away from home

Both teams have achieved 8 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The Estadio de Mestalla has seen an average of 3.2 goals in the last 5 matches

In 60% of these matches, both teams scored, and in 60%, more than 2.5 goals were scored

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