La Liga
Elche - Valencia
04/11/2026, 02:15 PM
预期进球
1.3
3.0
1.7
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Elche
Valencia
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
29%
平局
27%
客胜
45%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
双重机会
主胜或平局
55%
客胜或平局
71%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- Mathematical prediction: Valencia has a 45% win probability, Elche only 29%
- Form advantage: Valencia shows a positive form trend, while Elche exhibits a negative tendency
- Offensive performance: Valencia's goal production has recently increased (1.6 goals) compared to their season average (1.13 goals)
风险因素
- Valencia concedes an average of 2.45 goals per away game
- Elche's goal production has recently stalled (1.2 goals) compared to their season average (1.27 goals)
- Elche had only 1 win in their last 5 league matches
概述
Elche (18th place, 29 points) host Valencia (14th place, 35 points) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. The La Liga match is on April 11, 2026, 4:15 PM. Elche are battling against relegation, while Valencia aims to stabilize in mid-table
近期状态
Elche's form in their last five league matches is DLLWL
This translates to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Their last game was a 0-1 loss away against Rayo Vallecano
Before that, they secured a 2-1 home win against Mallorca
Valencia's form in their last five league matches is WWLWL
This indicates 3 wins and 2 losses
Their last match was a 2-3 home loss against Celta de Vigo
Previously, they won 2-0 away against Sevilla
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Elche has scored an average of 1.27 goals per game this season and conceded 1.57 goals per game
At home, they average 1.26 goals scored and 0.84 goals conceded
The team kept 6 clean sheets and both teams scored in 21 matches
Valencia has scored an average of 1.13 goals per game and conceded 1.50 goals per game
Away, they average 1.18 goals scored and 2.45 goals conceded
Valencia has kept 8 clean sheets and both teams scored in 16 matches
The Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero sees an average of 3.0 goals per game
In 4 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and in 4 out of 5 games, there were over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
The teams have met in 1 head-to-head match so far
Neither team has secured a win, with 1 draw recorded
A total of 2 goals were scored in this single encounter, with each team scoring 1 goal
The last meeting ended in a 1:1 draw on January 10, 2026
关键球员
For Elche, Rafa Mir with 8 goals and 0 assists, and Germán Valera with 4 goals and 4 assists are important players this season
André Silva contributed 7 goals and has a seasonal average rating of 6.85
For Valencia, Luis Rioja stands out with 2 goals and 5 assists
Largie Ramazani has scored 5 goals and 1 assist
Guido Rodríguez has 2 goals and a seasonal average rating of 7.12
门将
Matías Dituro is Elche's goalkeeper and has an average rating of 7.13 in 14 season appearances
Elche has recorded 6 clean sheets this season
Stole Dimitrievski is Valencia's goalkeeper and has an average rating of 6.82 in 12 season appearances
Valencia has recorded 8 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Elche has scored an average of 1.26 goals at home and conceded only 0.84 goals
The Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero shows a high goal average, with 3.0 goals per game on average
In 80% of matches at the stadium, both teams score, and 80% have over 2.5 goals