La Liga
Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés
04/11/2026, 12:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.8
1.0
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
10%3:1
6%1:2
6%xG 分解
Real Sociedad
Deportivo Alavés
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
26%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Pipeline Analysis: The mathematical analysis predicts Real Sociedad to win with a 53% probability
- Home Offense: Real Sociedad is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals per game) than their season average (1.6 goals per game), indicating a positive form trend
- Weak Away Defense: Deportivo Alavés conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game in recent matches
风险因素
- Real Sociedad Squad Impact: The absence of Mikel Oyarzabal and Gonçalo Guedes means only 72% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available
- Deportivo Alavés Squad Impact: Lucas Boyé and Carles Aleñá are missing, reducing the starting XI's goal threat to 72%
- Limited data availability for duels in the last 5 matches
概述
Real Sociedad (7th place, 41 points) host Deportivo Alavés (15th place, 32 points) at Anoeta Stadium. La Liga match on April 11, 2026, 2:00 PM. Real Sociedad aims to connect with European qualification spots, while Alavés needs crucial points in the relegation battle
近期状态
Real Sociedad has a form of WLWLW in their last five matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)
Real Sociedad recently won 2-0 at home against Levante
Deportivo Alavés has a form of LLDWD in their last five matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
Deportivo Alavés recently drew 2-2 at home against Osasuna
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Real Sociedad has scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded 1.50 goals per game this season
Deportivo Alavés has scored an average of 1.07 goals and conceded 1.43 goals per game
Real Sociedad has scored an average of 1.53 goals at home and conceded 1.11 goals
Deportivo Alavés has conceded an average of 2.08 goals per away game
Real Sociedad kept 3 clean sheets, Deportivo Alavés also kept 3
At Anoeta Stadium, an average of 3.4 goals have been scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Alavés holds a slight lead with 3 wins compared to Real Sociedad's 2 wins
The goal difference is 5:6 in favor of Deportivo Alavés
The last encounter on February 4, 2026, saw Real Sociedad win 3-2 away
关键球员
For Real Sociedad, Brais Méndez is a key player with 6 goals and 2 assists this season, showing stable form
Carlos Soler (4 goals, 3 assists) is in rising form with one assist in his last 4 games
Orri Óskarsson (4 goals, 0 assists) shows stable form, having scored 2 goals in his last 4 games
For Deportivo Alavés, Toni Martínez (8 goals, 3 assists) is important with rising form (2 goals, 1 assist in his last 5 games)
Victor Parada (0 goals, 3 assists) shows stable form and provided 2 assists in his last 5 games
Abde Rebbach (1 goal, 1 assist) is in rising form and was involved in 2 goals in his last 3 games
门将
Álex Remiro is Real Sociedad's goalkeeper with 30 season appearances and 3 clean sheets
His form is rising with an average rating of 7.38 in his last 3 games
Antonio Sivera is Deportivo Alavés' goalkeeper with 30 season appearances and 3 clean sheets
His form is declining with an average rating of 6.51 in his last 5 games
影响因素
Real Sociedad shows a solid performance at home with an average of 1.53 goals scored and 1.11 goals conceded
Anoeta Stadium has seen an average of 3.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
The pitch surface is grass