La Liga
Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano
04/12/2026, 02:15 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%0:2
5%xG 分解
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
30%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Mallorca's Home Strength: The model predicts a home win with 40% probability
- Rayo Vallecano's Dip in Form: Goal production stagnates at an average of 1.0 goals, while the season average is 1.5
- Home Advantage Mallorca: At home, Mallorca averages 1.21 goals scored and concedes only 1.0 goals
风险因素
- Rayo Vallecano is missing 5 key players, with only 66% of their usual goal threat available (Jorge de Frutos (10G/1A), Isi Palazón (3G/3A), Pep Chavarría (1G/2A), Unai López (0G/3A), Pathé Ciss (2G/0A))
- Rayo Vallecano has had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Mallorca is missing important defenders: A. Raillo Arenas (Thigh Muscle Strain) and M. Valjent (Yellow Card Suspension)
概述
Mallorca (18th place, 31 points) host Rayo Vallecano (13th place, 35 points) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
La Liga match on April 12, 2026, 4:15 PM
Both teams are fighting for crucial points, Mallorca against relegation and Rayo Vallecano for a mid-table spot
近期状态
Mallorca shows a form of LDWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The team achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches
The last result was a win
Rayo Vallecano records a form of DLLWW
In their last five games, they had 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
The team won their last two consecutive matches
统计数据
Mallorca averages 1.2 goals scored per game and concedes 1.6 goals per game this season
Rayo Vallecano averages 0.97 goals scored per game and concedes 1.17 goals per game
At home, Mallorca scores an average of 1.21 goals and concedes 1.0 goals
Away from home, Rayo Vallecano concedes an average of 2.0 goals per game
Mallorca kept 3 clean sheets, while Rayo Vallecano kept 9 clean sheets
Both teams scored in 20 Mallorca games and 13 Rayo Vallecano games
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix averages 3.0 goals per game
In 4 out of 5 matches at this stadium, both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were recorded
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca secured 2 wins, Rayo Vallecano 1 win, and there were 2 draws
Mallorca scored a total of 6 goals, Rayo Vallecano 5 goals
The last encounter on January 11, 2026, ended with a 1:2 victory for Rayo Vallecano
The recent record shows a slight dominance by Mallorca
关键球员
For Mallorca, Vedat Muriqi is a key player with 19 goals and 1 assist in 29 appearances
He scored 3 goals in his last 5 games with stable form
Sergi Darder contributed 1 goal and 4 assists in 30 appearances, with 1 assist in the last 5 games
Pablo Torre shows rising form with 3 goals and 2 assists in 27 appearances, including 2 goals in his last 4 games
For Rayo Vallecano, Álvaro García is an important player with 4 goals and 5 assists in 30 appearances
Florian Lejeune shows rising form with an average rating of 7.10 in 30 appearances and 1 assist in his last 4 games
Randy Nteka scored 1 goal in 2 of his last 5 games and shows rising form
门将
For Mallorca, Leo Román starts, who has 25 appearances this season and 3 clean sheets
For Rayo Vallecano, Dani Cárdenas is in goal, who has not made any appearances this season
影响因素
Mallorca shows solid home defense, conceding an average of 1.0 goals per game
The grass pitch at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix is the usual surface
The stadium tends to favor high-scoring matches with an average of 3.0 goals per game