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La Liga

Sevilla - Atlético de Madrid

04/11/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Sevilla
1.0
Total xG
2.3
Atlético de Madrid
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

11%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
SEVADM

Sevilla

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.64倍)
-0.52
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第4位, 相差13位)
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.09
Djibril Sow替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
José Ángel Carmona未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
Alexis Sánchez替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Gabriel Suazo替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

Atlético de Madrid

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2 赛季平均)
-0.13
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第17位, 相差13位)
+0.08
Julián Alvarez替补席 (8球, 4助攻)
Giuliano Simeone替补席 (4球, 6助攻)
Antoine Griezmann替补席 (6球, 1助攻)
Koke 未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Marcos Llorente替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
Matteo Ruggeri替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Nahuel Molina替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Dávid Hancko未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Ademola Lookman替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
35%进球产出缺失 (仅46%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

28%

平局

32%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

72%

非平局

68%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Atlético Madrid's attacking line is severely weakened, with only 46% of the usual goal threat available
  • Sevilla is on a negative run with 3 consecutive losses
  • Atlético Madrid is favored with a win probability of 40%
风险因素
  • Atlético Madrid had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Sevilla registered an average of only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Atlético Madrid conceded an average of 1.78 goals per away game
概述

Sevilla (17th place, 31 points) host Atlético Madrid (4th place, 57 points) at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

La Liga match on April 11, 2026, 9:00 PM

Sevilla is fighting relegation, while Atlético is competing for a Champions League spot

近期状态

Sevilla is in a difficult phase with form 'DDLLL' (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)

The team has lost its last 3 games

Atlético Madrid shows a form of 'WLLLW' (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses)

After three consecutive losses, Atlético managed to win the last match

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sevilla scores an average of 1.27 goals per home game and concedes 1.47 goals

Atlético Madrid scores an average of 1.67 goals away and concedes 1.78 goals

In the last 5 matches at the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, an average of 2.2 goals per game were scored

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches at this stadium

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla has 1 win and Atlético Madrid has 4 wins

The goal difference is 5:10 in favor of Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid dominated the recent encounters

The last duel on November 1, 2025, ended with a 3:0 victory for Atlético Madrid

关键球员

For Sevilla, Isaac Romero is in rising form with 4 season goals

Akor Adams contributed 7 goals and 4 assists this season

Oso showed stable form with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games

For Atlético Madrid, Alexander Sørloth is a key player with 10 season goals

Thiago Almada recorded 3 goals and 1 assist this season

Álex Baena contributed 2 goals and 2 assists

门将

Odysseas Vlachodimos played 26 games for Sevilla, the team achieved 5 clean sheets

Juan Musso played 4 games for Atlético Madrid, the team managed to keep 12 clean sheets

影响因素

Sevilla's home advantage is reflected by 1.27 home goals scored and 1.47 home goals conceded

The Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán has a high 80% rate for 'both teams to score'

An average of 2.2 goals per game are scored at this stadium

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