La Liga
Atlético Madrid - Athletic Club
04/25/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Club
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
43%
平局
30%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
57%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win for Atlético Madrid with a 43% probability
- Defensive Comparison: Atlético's strong home defense (Avg. 0.67 goals conceded) faces Athletic's vulnerable away defense (Avg. 2.17 goals conceded)
- Head-to-Head: Atlético Madrid has won 3 of the last 5 direct encounters against Athletic Club
风险因素
- Tight Schedule: Atlético Madrid has only 3 days since their last match
- Away Weakness: Athletic Club concedes an average of 2.17 goals per away game
- Attacking Weakness: Both teams, according to Advanced Stats, show a negative trend in goal production compared to their season average
概述
Atlético Madrid (4th place, 57 points) host Athletic Club (9th place, 41 points) at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. The La Liga match takes place on April 25, 2026, 8:00 PM. Atlético is fighting for a Champions League spot, while Athletic is positioned in the mid-table.
近期状态
Atlético Madrid's form in the last five games is WLLDL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their most recent outing was a loss. Athletic Club shows a form of LWLLW in their last five matches (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). Their last appearance ended in a win.
统计数据
Atlético Madrid averages 1.66 goals per game and concedes 1.09 goals per game this season. At home, they are particularly strong with an average of 1.67 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded per home game. Athletic Club averages 1.06 goals per game and concedes 1.41 goals per game. Away from home, Athletic is defensively vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.17 goals per away game. At the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, an average of 3.2 goals are scored per game, and both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches.
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Atlético Madrid secured three wins and Athletic Club claimed two, with no draws. The goal difference is even at 5:5. The last match was won by Athletic Club away with a score of 1:0 on December 6, 2025. Overall, the recent head-to-head record is considered dominant for the home team.
关键球员
For Atlético Madrid, Alexander Sørloth (10 goals, 0 assists, form stable), Antoine Griezmann (6 goals, 1 assist, form stable), and Giuliano Simeone (4 goals, 6 assists, form declining) are key players. At Athletic Club, Gorka Guruzeta (8 goals, 1 assist, form stable), Nico Williams (4 goals, 2 assists, form stable), and Iñaki Williams (2 goals, 4 assists, form stable) are crucial.
门将
Jan Oblak is in goal for Atlético Madrid, keeping 12 clean sheets in 27 season appearances. For Athletic Club, Unai Simón is the goalkeeper, achieving 6 clean sheets in 32 season appearances.
影响因素
Atlético Madrid benefits from a significant home advantage, with an average of 1.67 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded in home games. The Riyadh Air Metropolitano sees an average of 3.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% of matches.