La Liga
Osasuna - Sevilla
04/26/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.3
0.7
1:0
14%2:0
13%1:1
13%0:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Osasuna
Sevilla
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
58%
平局
27%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
42%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a probability of 58%
- Sevilla concedes an average of 2.00 goals per away game, indicating a vulnerable defense
- Osasuna averaged 5.6 shots on target in their last 5 games and shows strong offensive play
风险因素
- Sevilla had only 3 days of rest since their last match and may be fatigued
- Osasuna's recent goal production is stalled at 1.0 goals, while their season average is 1.6
- Sevilla averaged only 1.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
Osasuna (10th place, 39 points) host Sevilla (18th place, 34 points) at the Estadio El Sadar
La Liga match on April 26, 2026, 6:30 PM
Osasuna aims to consolidate their league position, while Sevilla desperately needs points in the relegation battle
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 58%
近期状态
Osasuna's form across all competitions is LWDDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In their last 5 games, Osasuna recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
The last match ended in a 0-1 loss against Athletic Club
Sevilla shows poor form with LLLWL in their last 5 games across all competitions
This equates to 1 win and 4 losses
Sevilla lost their last away game 0-2 against Levante
统计数据
Osasuna scored an average of 1.16 goals per game this season and conceded 1.22 goals
At home, Osasuna is defensively strong with 1.18 goals scored and only 0.77 goals conceded per game
Sevilla scored an average of 1.22 goals this season and conceded 1.66 goals
Sevilla's away defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per away game
Both teams scored in 16 of Osasuna's games and in 19 of Sevilla's games
The Estadio El Sadar has seen an average of 2.8 goals per match in the last 5 games
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and 3 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, the record between Osasuna and Sevilla is even
Both teams secured 1 win, while 3 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference stands at 3:3
Sevilla won the last encounter 1-0 away on November 8, 2025
关键球员
For Osasuna, Ante Budimir is an important attacker with 16 season goals, though his form is slightly declining
Víctor Muñoz showed rising form with 1 goal in the last 5 games and a season rating of 6.77
Rubén García contributed 2 goals and 5 assists this season, his form is slightly declining
For Sevilla, Rubén Vargas is a key player with 3 goals and 5 assists, his form is stable
Isaac Romero shows rising form with a last 5 Avg Rating of 6.98
Djibril Sow has scored 5 goals and provided 1 assist this season, but his form is declining
Not nominated for Sevilla are Akor Adams (8 goals, 4 assists), Juanlu Sánchez (0 goals, 3 assists), and Nemanja Gudelj (2 goals, 0 assists)
门将
Osasuna's goalkeeper Sergio Herrera played in 32 season games and achieved 7 clean sheets
Sevilla relies on Odysseas Vlachodimos, who kept 5 clean sheets in 28 games
影响因素
The Estadio El Sadar is known for goals, with an average of 2.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Osasuna benefits from a home advantage with a strong home defense, conceding only 0.77 goals per game
Sevilla's poor away defense, conceding 2.00 goals per game, could be decisive
The grass pitch is the usual surface for both teams