La Liga
Valencia - Girona
04/25/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Valencia
Girona
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
30%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Valencia with 44% probability and 1.45 expected goals
- Girona's form curve shows a positive development (1.4 current goals vs. 1.2 season average), while Valencia's goal production stagnates (1.0 current goals vs. 1.3 season average)
- Girona has had the upper hand in the last 5 head-to-head encounters (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
风险因素
- Girona averaged only 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 matches
- Valencia's current goal production (1.0) is lower than their season average (1.3)
- Both teams show defensive vulnerabilities, with Valencia conceding an average of 1.47 goals and Girona 1.50 goals per game
概述
Valencia (14th place, 36 points) host Girona (13th place, 38 points) at the Estadio de Mestalla
La Liga match on April 25, 2026, 6:30 PM
Both teams are in the mid-table, with Girona only two points ahead of Valencia
近期状态
Valencia's form across all competitions: LWLLD
This corresponds to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last five matches
The last matchday ended in a draw for Valencia
Girona's form across all competitions: WLWDL
This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last five matches
The last matchday ended in a loss for Girona
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Valencia scored an average of 1.09 goals per game this season and conceded 1.47 goals
At home, Valencia's average goals scored is 1.11 and goals conceded is 0.95
Girona scored an average of 1.09 goals per game this season and conceded 1.50 goals
In away matches, Girona's average goals scored is 1.07 and goals conceded is 1.60
At Valencia's stadium, an average of 3.2 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there were 3 wins for Girona, 1 win for Valencia, and 1 draw
Girona scored a total of 8 goals, Valencia 6 goals
The last encounter on October 4, 2025, ended in a 2-1 victory for Girona
Girona has been the more dominant team in recent encounters
关键球员
For Valencia, Guido Rodríguez (Avg. 7.02 rating, 2 goals, 0 assists), Pepelu (Avg. 6.96 rating, 2 goals, 0 assists) and Luis Rioja (Avg. 6.84 rating, 2 goals, 5 assists) are key players
Guido Rodríguez shows a rising form with a last 5-game rating of 7.22
For Girona, Azzedine Ounahi (Avg. 7.25 rating, 5 goals, 2 assists), Viktor Tsygankov (Avg. 7.15 rating, 6 goals, 4 assists) and Arnau Martínez (Avg. 6.88 rating, 1 goal, 2 assists) are crucial
Claudio Echeverri (Avg. 6.81 rating, 1 goal, 1 assist) for Girona is in rising form with a last 5-game rating of 7.16
Not nominated for Valencia: Filip Ugrinic (0G/3A), Eray Cömert (2G/0A)
Not nominated for Girona: Vladyslav Vanat (9G/1A)
门将
Valencia's goalkeeper Stole Dimitrievski has achieved 8 clean sheets this season and has an average rating of 6.9
His form is stable with a last 5-game rating of 7.01
Girona's goalkeeper Paulo Gazzaniga has 6 clean sheets this season and has an average rating of 6.87
His form is rising with a last 5-game rating of 7.60
影响因素
Valencia's home game at Estadio de Mestalla shows an average of 3.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches at this stadium
The surface is grass
Valencia scored an average of 1.11 goals at home and conceded 0.95 goals
Girona conceded an average of 1.60 goals away